Generic selectors
Exact matches only
Search in title
Search in content
Post Type Selectors
Search in posts
Search in pages

Go Home

Hospitals Strategize Surge Capacity Allocation Using System Dynamics

Nov 5, 2020 | Cases, Health Policy

A system dynamics model was developed to help hospitals assess their ability to handle surges of demand during various types of disasters.  The model represents all major flows of patients through a hospital and indicates how specific responses to a surge may ameliorate bottlenecks and their potentially harmful effects on patients.

  The model was calibrated to represent a specific hospital in West Virginia and was tested under three quite different surge scenarios: a bus crash, a chemical plant leak, and a SARS outbreak.

Under the difficult conditions of the SARS scenario, avoidable deaths of patients awaiting emergency care could be effectively reduced by adding reserve nursing staff not in the emergency department, as might be expected, but in the overloaded inpatient wards.

  The model can help hospital planners better anticipate how patient flows may be affected by disasters, and identify best practices for maximizing the hospital’s surge capacity under such conditions.

Client Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA), US Department of Health and Human Services
Authors/Consultants Manley W, Homer J, Hoard M, Roy S, Furbee P, et al.

Do you want to know more?

Publications

Manley W, Homer J, Hoard M, Roy S, Furbee P, Summers D, Blake R, Kimble M. 2005. A Dynamic Model to Support Surge Capacity Planning in a Rural Hospital. ISDC proceedings 2005, Boston
Hoard M, Homer J, Manley W, Furbee P, Haque A, Helmkamp J.  Systems Modeling in Support of Evidence-Based Disaster Planning for Rural Areas.  Intl. J of Hygiene and Environmental Health, 208: 117-125, 2005.

OTHER SUCCESSFUL APPLICATIONS

A Design Value Calculator: A System Dynamics Boardgame

A Design Value Calculator: A System Dynamics Boardgame EXECUTIVE Summary Product design is a specific form of complex innovation that touches all areas of an organization’s management. While entrepreneurs recognise the value of design, they often tend to focus...

Upcoming Events

Recent Posts

Society Governance Updates

Society Governance Updates Welcome, Allyson! New President Allyson Beall King joined the Policy Council as our 2024 President. Her primary role is as director of the Washington State University School of the Environment, which focuses on regional ecologies and our...

Call for Presenters: Seminar Series

Call for Presenters: Seminar Series We at the System Dynamics Society are continually seeking vibrant and knowledgeable presenters for our ongoing Seminar Series. As we unfold the calendar, there’s always a place for more insights, experiences, and expertise to enrich...

Join us

OTHER SUCCESSFUL APPLICATIONS

A Design Value Calculator: A System Dynamics Boardgame

A Design Value Calculator: A System Dynamics Boardgame EXECUTIVE Summary Product design is a specific form of complex innovation that touches all areas of an organization’s management. While entrepreneurs recognise the value of design, they often tend to focus...

Recent Posts

Society Governance Updates

Society Governance Updates Welcome, Allyson! New President Allyson Beall King joined the Policy Council as our 2024 President. Her primary role is as director of the Washington State University School of the Environment, which focuses on regional ecologies and our...

Call for Presenters: Seminar Series

Call for Presenters: Seminar Series We at the System Dynamics Society are continually seeking vibrant and knowledgeable presenters for our ongoing Seminar Series. As we unfold the calendar, there’s always a place for more insights, experiences, and expertise to enrich...

Upcoming Events