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Collaborative and Competing Supply Chain Scenario Planning

Presenter: Professor Nitin R. Joglekar

Title: Collaborative and Competing Supply Chain Scenario Planning

Abstract:  Scenario planning is an approach used to prepare for just-in-case futures.  Disruptions such as BREXIT and the pandemic have shortened the planning horizons, heightened the need for leveraging data, and brought in digital collaboration/ distanced work as three key elements of just-in-case supply chain configuration planning (Joglekar and Phadnis, SMR 2020; Phadnis and Joglekar, POM 2021). In addition to such collaborative planning, we also see specters of completing policy regimen, such as deglobalization trends, affecting supply chain planning scenarios (Srai, Tsolakis and Joglekar, 2020). We draw upon evidence from pandemics and widespread farmer protests in India to conduct system dynamics studies of underlying planning challenges. We then identify potential research opportunities — empirical, behavioral, and analytical – that are associated with emergent field of just-in-case supply chain scenario planning.

References:

  1. Joglekar, N., & S. Phadnis (2020) Accelerating Supply Chain Scenario Planning (Attached)
  2. Phadnis, S., & Joglekar, N. (2021). Configuring Supply Chain Dyads for Regulatory Disruptions: A Behavioral Study of Scenarios. Production and Operations Management forthcoming https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/poms.13290
  3. Srai, J. S., Tsolakis, N., & Joglekar, N. (2020). Interplay between Competing Policy Regimen in Supply Networks. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3745731

Bio:

Professor Nitin Joglekar is on faculty at Boston University’s Questrom School of Business. He has been a department editor for industry studies and public policy at the Production & Operations Management Journal (POM).  He is currently serving as an expert on advanced manufacturing and digital supply chains for Global Futures Council at the World Economic Forum. He is also serving as a co-editor for POM’s upgoing special issue on pandemics. Home Page: http://people.bu.edu/joglekar/

Group Model Building Online: Experiences and Insights Seminar

All Seminar Series Webinars are free for System Dynamics Society members. Join or Renew today and unlock all membership benefits.

11 am New York | 4 pm London | 12 am Beijing

When COVID-19 hit almost a year ago, we, a group of researchers at the University of Bergen in Norway, decided to take the leap and run a planned in-person Group Model Building workshop online on fairly short notice. Encouraged by the positive outcomes of this initial event, we have since experimented with several more online activities. In this seminar, we will share our experiences so far, demonstrate some of the online tools and templates that we have been developing, and exchange tips and tricks with seminar participants.

Seminars are free for 2021 System Dynamics Society Members and Subscribers. Join or Renew today to unlock all benefits.

Make sure you log in to get the discount.

 

Anaely Aguiar

Anaely Aguiar

Birgit Kopainsky

Birgit Kopainsky

Brooke Wilkerson

Brooke Wilkerson

Christina Gkini

Christina Gkini

Lars-Kristian Trellevik

Lars-Kristian Trellevik

Group Model Building Online: Experiences and Insights

All Seminar Series Webinars are free for System Dynamics Society members. Join or Renew today and unlock all membership benefits.

11 am New York | 4 pm London | 12 am Beijing

Birgit Kopainsky | Anaely Aguiar | Brooke Wilkerson | Christina Gkini | Lars-Kristian Lunde Trellevik

When COVID-19 hit almost a year ago, we, a group of researchers at the University of Bergen in Norway, decided to take the leap and run a planned in-person Group Model Building workshop online on fairly short notice. Encouraged by the positive outcomes of this initial event, we have since experimented with several more online activities. In this seminar, we will share our experiences so far, demonstrate some of the online tools and templates that we have been developing, and exchange tips and tricks with seminar participants.

Seminars are free for 2021 System Dynamics Society Members and Subscribers. Join or Renew today to unlock all benefits.

Make sure you log in to get the discount.

 

Local Level COVID Models: Bringing Youth to the Table

11 am New York | 4 pm London | 12 am Beijing

Across the world, citizens are being told what to do about Coronavirus by experts and politicians, with no understanding of what is happening or what is best to do around them. And those conditions can be highly localized, with infection and death rates differing by multiples just across the street. Young people, in particular, are disenfranchised by this approach, even though they play a key role in the pandemic. This webinar describes an accessible COVID model that can be readily localized to any specific area – large or small. It will describe unique findings – generated by young people with no prior experience – for Delhi, distinct parts of Mumbai, London, and New York/Bronx. It will conclude with wider implications for localizing System Dynamics models and for youth-engagement.

About the presenters:

Maurice Glucksman is currently Co-Lead Architect, The COVID 19 Localisation Modelling Group he founded with Dr. Kim Warren in March 2020 aiming to democratize COVID 19 modeling with an emphasis on quantifying and managing risk in local areas to especially help young people become confident advocates for risk assessment positive policy change in the pandemic.   He is now also an active investor and was Director of Research for Hamilton Ventures a Merchant Bank and Stockbroker Strenuus Capital. He also was a leader of the Business Dynamics group at McKinsey & Co a consultant with Pugh Roberts Associates and practiced Naval Architecture for 3 years between Business and Engineering degrees at MIT and the University of Michigan.

Kim Warren is the co-founder and director of Strategy Dynamics and former president of the System Dynamics Society. He’s an experienced strategy professional, teacher, and publisher of online courses and resources on business modeling. He held senior strategy roles in several industries, from petrochemical to brewing. He taught at the London Business School on MBA and Executive programs for long years and developed the powerful strategy dynamics frameworks for designing and managing enterprise strategy. Kim’s work on modeling business plans and issues has spanned cases in several businesses across the world. He’s the author of the prize-winning Competitive Strategy Dynamics and teaches at the Worcester Polytechnic Institute and the Vienna University of Economics and Business.

Farrah Farnejad is a student at Queen Mary University of London who won the COVID 19 Youth Modelling Competition and has developed a model of the borough of Westminster and wrote an article with the COVID 19 Localisation Modelling Group on the impact of the new Covid 19 mutation.

Quinn Kennedy is a high School Student at Fordham Prep in the Bronx, who worked to estimate the likelihood of herd immunity in the boroughs of New York City and was an active contributor to an early analysis of herd immunity in New York City last summer and helped the COVID 19 Localisation Modelling Group to develop its course.

Harshita Magroria is a student at the University of Mumbai who led a team of 5 other students to study the outbreak in L Ward and discover the key differences between the slum and non-slum areas

Brahmani Nutakki a student at the University of Hyderabad who is the winner of a hackathon based on her work to automate predictive models of COVID 19 She led a similar effort to study Delhi and accurately predicted that the city would experience a surge in infections at the present moment. 

About the COVID 19 Localisation Modelling Group:

The COVID 19 Localisation Modelling Group was founded and collaborates with a group of 100+ volunteers to support teams working on COVID localized models globally. The group also offers a free COVID 19 Localisation Modelling Course.

The System Dynamics Society is committed to making all COVID 19-related resources available for free. Sponsor now and help us in this effort!

 

Modeling Covid-19: A Panel Discussion

@ 11:00 AM – 12:30 PM EST (New York)
@ 4:00 PM – 5:30 PM GMT (London)
@ 12:00 AM – 1:30 AM CST (Beijing)

Join host Mohammad Jalali (Harvard University) for a panel discussion about COVID-19 modeling. Panelists Jeroen Struben (emlyon business school), Hazhir Rahmandad (MIT Sloan), Jack Homer (Homer Consulting), and Navid Ghaffarzadegan (Virginia Tech) will then share their work in 10-minute presentations.  This will be followed by discussion and Q&A which explores the question of what makes a COVID-19 model useful.