Sessions by Thread
The 29th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society
July 25 – 29, 2011  ---  Washington, DC

Business Applications

Plenary: Internal and External Consulting, chaired by George Richardson

System Dynamics Perspective Applied in Aviation Business Planning, by Fariba Alamdari Abstract

The State of System Dynamics Consulting - 2011 Survey, by Kenneth Cooper Abstract Supporting

Parallel: Business Applications, chaired by Richard Phares

Resource coordination and Business Model Renewal process. A System Dynamics analysis of the Aluminium Downstream Industry, by Carmine Garzia, Edoardo Mollona Abstract Paper

The Management of Trust for Stimulating the Adoption of Improved Maize Seed in Malawi, by Sebastian Derwisch, Birgit Kopainsky, Katharine Troeger Abstract Paper

Development of an Agent Based Epidemiological Model of Beef Cattle, by Robert Glass, John Harger, Chrysm Watson Ross, Stephen Conrad, Aldo Zagonel, Walt Beyeler, Melissa Finley Abstract Paper

Parallel: Business Applications, chaired by Kim Warren

Dynamics of Operational Procurement: Systems Modelling for Performance Tracking and Auditing, by Kate Ross-Smith, Michael Yearworth Abstract Paper

Interaction of Product and Service Innovations - An Anaylsis of the Dynamics in Industrial Companies, by Christian Lerch Abstract Paper

The barrier-based system for major accident prevention: a system dynamics analysis, by Ian Hoffman, Peter Wilkinson Abstract Paper

Parallel: Project Model in Action, chaired by J. Chris White

Application of System Dynamics Modelling in support of Microsoft’s Automation Strategy, by Siôn Cave, Mirek Gliniecki, Skip Johnson, Geza Nemesszeghy Abstract Paper

Simulation of a Distributed Design Project, by Sampsa Ruutu, Peter Ylen, Mikko Laine Abstract Paper

Impacts of Project Controls on Tipping Point Dynamics in Construction Projects, by Jiang Li, Timothy Taylor, David Ford Abstract Paper

Parallel: Business Applications, chaired by Andrew Moore

A Dynamic View on Knowledge Development: A Case of Industrial Aerospace Supply Chain Development in Indonesia, by Muhammad Tasrif, Ina Juniarti Abstract Paper Supporting

Convenience Stores in Bogotá at 2030, by Gloria Perez Salazar Abstract Paper

Dynamic Model for Estimating the Added Value of Maintenance Services, by Tero Jokinen, Jouni Pyötsiä, Peter Ylen Abstract Paper

Poster: Business Applications

Time to Bite the Hand that Feeds You, by Don Woodlock Abstract Paper Supporting

Improving Service Levels at a Major Brazilian Consumer Goods Company, by Joana Ribeiro, André Baitello, Paulo Goncalves, Hugo Yoshida Yoshizaki Abstract

The Impact of Design Rework on Construction Project Performance, by Ying Li, Timothy Taylor Abstract Paper Supporting

An Explanatory Framework for the Growth of SMEs A System Dynamic Approach, by Amr Farouk, Mohamed Saleh Abstract Paper Supporting

Modeling the Diffusion of Energy Performance Contracting, by Carlos Capelo Abstract Paper


Getting Started with the Beer Game on Steroids (BGOS), by J. Chris White, Robert Sholtes Abstract Supporting Link

Getting Started with STELLA and iThink, by Joanne Egner, Karim Chichakly Abstract Supporting

Getting Started with pmBLOX, by J. Chris White, Robert Sholtes Abstract Supporting

Creating Simulations for the Web with STELLA and iThink, by Joanne Egner, Jeremy Merritt Abstract Supporting


Complexity/Agent-Based Methods

Plenary: Theory and Applications, chaired by Susan Howick

Applying System Dynamics to Overcome Unsuccessful Success Factor Research, by Florian Kapmeier, Meike Tilebein, Ralf Dillerup, Alexander Voigt Abstract Paper

The Dutch Taxation on Airline Tickets: A system dynamics approach to model airport choice, by Bart Steverink, Cornelia van Daalen Abstract Paper

Inadvertent Inequality: The Unintended Consequences of the Major League Baseball Free Agent Compensation System, by Noah Isaacs, Jeroen Struben, Ruthanne Huising Abstract Paper

Poster: Complexity / Agent-Based Methods

The Limits of Discrete Modeling of Continuous Individual Dynamics: A Cautionary Tale from Immuno-Epidemiogical Dynamics, by Anqi Dong, Nathaniel Osgood Abstract

The Evolutionary Economic Geography of Regional Economic Development in Asia, by Hans-Peter Brunner Abstract Paper


All About AnyLogic - an intro for those new to AnyLogic and a new features update for experienced users, by Andrei Borshchev, George Gonzalez-Rivas, Timofey Popkov Abstract


Conflict, Defense and Security

Parallel: Panel Discussion: System Dynamics Research in Conflict, Defense, and Security, chaired by Edward Anderson

System Dynamics Research in Conflict, Defense, and Security Panel Discussion, by Edward Anderson Abstract Paper

Parallel: Conflict, Defense and Security, chaired by Eliot Rich

Farmers, Bandits, Soldiers: A model for addressing peace agendas, by Khalid Saeed, Oleg Pavlov, Jeanine Skorinko, Alexander Smith Abstract Paper

A System Dynamics and Agent-Based Simulation Approach to Test Group-Level Theories of Political Violence, by Alexander Lubyansky Abstract Paper Supporting

System Dynamics Model for the National Guard Chemical, Biological, Nuclear, and High-Explosive Enhanced Response Force, by James Engoglia, Marc Alderman Abstract Paper Supporting

Parallel: Conflict, Defense and Security, chaired by Leonard Malczynski

Illegality and Instability as a Continuum: The US-Mexico Border Case, by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano, David Sallach Abstract Paper

Mexico’s Cartel Problem: A Systems Thinking Perspective, by Sibel McGee, Michael Joel, Robert Edson Abstract Paper

To Radicalize or to Deradicalize? Is that the Question?, by Erik Pruyt, Jan Kwakkel Abstract Paper

Poster: Conflict, Defense and Security

Using a Hybrid Cognitive-System Dynamics Model to Anticipate the Influence of Events and Actions on Human Behaviors, by Asmeret Bier, Michael Bernard, George Backus, Matt Glickman, Stephen Verzi Abstract Paper

The Egyptian Revolution 2011: The Fall of the Virtual Wall - The Revolution Systems Thinking Archetype, by Khaled Wahba Abstract Paper Supporting


Economic Dynamics

Parallel: Finance and Economy, chaired by Michael Bean

Likely Causes of the US Housing Market Crisis: A System Dynamics Investigation, by Purba Mukerji, Khalid Saeed Abstract Paper

Dynamically Stress Testing Financial Systems, by Stefanie Anderson Abstract Paper

Economic Dynamics for Smarter Cities, by Gregory Hennessy, Justin Cook, Michael Bean, Katherine Dykes Abstract Paper

Parallel: Employment, chaired by Khalid Saeed

Development of System Dynamic Model of Latvia’s Economic Integration in the EU, by Valerijs Skribans Abstract Paper

Coca Farming Dynamics: The Colombian Case, by Sebastián Jaen, Isaac Dyner Abstract Paper

A System Dynamics Approach to the Regional Macro-economic Model, by Takayuki Yamashita Abstract Paper Supporting

Parallel: Finance and Money, chaired by Martin Schaffernicht

Workings of A Public Money System of Open Macroeconomies - Modeling the American Monetary Act Completed, by Kaoru Yamaguchi Abstract Paper

Towards An Early Warning System Of Sovereign Debt And Financial Sector Crises: The Case of Jamaica, by Jide Lewis Abstract Paper Supporting

A System Dynamics Approach to Macroeconomic Policy Evaluation - The Case of the German Debt Brake, by Klaus John Abstract Paper

Poster: Economic Dynamics

Simulating an Auction Market: The Effect of the Number and Aggressiveness of Bidders, by Gregory Hennessy Abstract Paper

Modeling of Social Sphere Based on Methods of System Dynamics, by Natalya Lychkina Abstract Paper Supporting

Understanding and Alleviating Future Skilled Labor Shortage in Norway, by Carmen Lee Abstract Paper Supporting

Convened Session:

Innovating Through the Crisis: System Dynamics Modeling Applied to International Development Work and World Bank Operations, by Mariana Dahan Abstract Paper Supporting


An Introduction to Macroeconomic Modeling - Accounting System Dynamics Approach, by Kaoru Yamaguchi Abstract



Parallel: Stock and Flow Understanding, chaired by Paul Newton

Reducing the gender gap: biases in understanding delays in personnel policies, by Inge Bleijenbergh, Jac Vennix, Eric Jacobs, Marloes van Engen Abstract Paper

Using Simulations for Discovery Learning about Environmental Accumulations, by Krystyna Stave, Heather Skaza, Benjamin Jurand Abstract Paper

A note on the bathtub analogy, by Pĺl Davidsen, Erling Moxnes, Mauricio Munera Sánchez, David Wheat Abstract

Parallel: K-12 Education Developments: Utilizing System Dynamics with K-12 Educators and Students, sponsored by Powersim Solutions, chaired by George Richardson, Lees Stuntz

Summary of Session: Utilizing System Dynamics with K-12 Educators and Students, by George Richardson, Lees Stuntz Abstract

Washington State Coalition, by Paul Newton, Mike Town, Dexter Chapin, Ruth Fruland Abstract

Using Group Model Building to Introduce High School Students to System Dynamics, by Peter Hovmand, Mary Scheetz, Tony Robinson, Krista Rux Abstract

MinSim, by P. Jeffrey Potash, Ralph Brauer Abstract

Open a New Window, Watch the World with the View of “System”, by Jun Kong, Ying Shen, Yibai Chen, Hao Yuan, Shouzu Han, Yang Yang Abstract

Parallel: Learning Environments, chaired by Michael Kennedy

Making System Dynamics Cool III: New Hot Teaching & Testing Cases, by Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper

Providing structural transparency when exploring a model’s behavior: Effects on performance and knowledge acquisition, by Birgit Kopainsky, Stephen Alessi, Pablo Pirnay-Dummer Abstract Paper

Measuring knowledge acquisition in dynamic decision making tasks, by Birgit Kopainsky, Stephen Alessi, Pĺl Davidsen Abstract Paper

Parallel: Stock and Flow Understanding, chaired by Yaman Barlas

Learning How Accumulation Works, by Matthew Cronin, Catherine Tinsley, John Sterman Abstract

In Search of Explanations for Stock-Flow Performance, by Hubert Korzilius, Stefan Raaijmakers, Etiënne Rouwette, Jac Vennix Abstract

Stock-and-Flow Failure: Visual Saliency, by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano, Cleotilde Gonzalez Abstract

Parallel: Learning, chaired by Patricia Craig

Analysis of the Effects of Different Complexity Factors on the Complexity of a Simulation Game, by Onur Ozgun, Yaman Barlas Abstract Paper

Supporting decision-makers in managing stock-flow problems: The effects of oral feedback on reasoning and decision-making, by Dennis Jacobs, Inge Bleijenbergh, Jac Vennix Abstract Paper

Establishing a framework to check the ablility of learning system dynamics--the experience of Taiwan scholars, by An-Ho Tsai Abstract

Parallel: K-12 Education Developments: What Does System Dynamics Look Like for Students aged 5-18?, sponsored by Powersim Solutions, chaired by George Richardson, Lees Stuntz

Session Summary: What Does System Dynamics Look Like for Students aged 5-18?, by George Richardson, Lees Stuntz Abstract

Systems Thinking for Students in Elementary and Middle Schools, Tucson AZ, by Anne LaVigne Abstract

Creating and Sustaining the Haig System Dynamics Club, Toronto, Canada, by Yannick Ngana Abstract

System Dynamics in the Sustainable Systems High School Elective, Seattle WA, by Dexter Chapin Abstract

High School Students' Models, Portland OR, by Diana Fisher Abstract

Poster: Education

A Taxonomy of System Dynamics Models of Educational Policy Issues, by Michael Kennedy Abstract Paper

A Pilot Project to Teach the Characteristics of Complex Systems, by Jennifer Andersen, Anne LaVigne Abstract Paper

Tension in a Local High School from a Systems Perspective, by Krista Rux, Peter Hovmand, Timothy Hower, Tony Robinson Abstract

A Taxonomy of System Dynamics Models of Educational Pedagogic Issues, by Michael Kennedy Abstract Paper

“10 years on average doesn’t mean 10 years in any case” – an Experimental Investigation of Fixed and Continuous Delays, by Andreas Groessler, Inge Bleijenbergh, Jac Vennix Abstract Paper

Illuminating the Logic of Stock Management Failure – How Much Does the (Mis)Understanding of Accumulation Explain?, by Jürgen Strohhecker Abstract Paper

What Is Happening in K-12 Systems Dynamics and Systems Thinking?, by Lees Stuntz Abstract


Modeling Dynamic Systems: Lessons for a First Course, by Diana Fisher Abstract Paper Link

Hands-on Simulation Curriculum in K-12 Education, by Lees Stuntz, Diana Fisher, Anne LaVigne, Jennifer Andersen, P. Jeffrey Potash Abstract Link

Using Simulation to teach project management skills, by Alain April Abstract Paper Link


Energy and Resources

Parallel: Perspectives on Energy Analysis, chaired by Birgit Kopainsky

No way out? – Analysing Policy Options to Alleviate or Derail Success-to-theSuccessful in the Energy System, by Jérôme Dangerman, Andreas Groessler Abstract Paper

A Construct for Testing Effective Cooperation in Large-Scale Resource Social Dilemmas, by Jorge Andrick Parra Valencia, Isaac Dyner Abstract Paper Supporting

Energy Transitions towards Sustainability: A Staged Exploration of Complexity and Deep Uncertainty, by Erik Pruyt, Jan Kwakkel, Caner Hamarat, Gönenç Yucel Abstract Paper

Parallel: Energy Efficiency in Building Stock, chaired by Christian Erik Kampmann

Residential Energy Efficiency Policy in Latvia: A System Dynamics Approach, by Andra Blumberga, Gatis Zogla, Erling Moxnes, Pĺl Davidsen Abstract Paper

Energy Transition in The Dutch Dwelling Stock: Exploring the Extent of Inertia Against Change, by Gönenç Yucel, Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper

Systems Modelling of New Media Services, by Michael Yearworth, Daniel Schien, Chris Preist, Paul Shabajee Abstract Paper

Parallel: Transportation and Energy Technology, chaired by Silvia Ulli-Beer

Strategies for Transportation Electrification: Overcoming Thresholds and Overly Optimistic Forecasts, by Jeroen Struben, John Sterman Abstract Paper Supporting

On the Integration and Cospecialization of Emerging Complementary Technologies: The Case of Renewable Power and Energy Storage, by Edward Anderson, Geoffrey Parker Abstract

Understanding Innovation Diffusion in the Presence of Supply Constraints and Price Feedback: The Case of the Toyota Prius, by David Keith, John Sterman, Jeroen Struben Abstract Supporting

Parallel: Energy in South America, chaired by Luis Luna-Reyes

A Framework for Analysis of Energy-Water Interdependency Problems, by Jacob Jacobson, Robert Jeffers, Kristyn Scott Abstract Paper

Management of Voltage Control Using Distributed Generation in the Colombian Power System: a system dynamics approach, by Sandra Carvajal, Adriana Arango, Santiago Arango Abstract Paper

SD for assessing electricity market integration, by Isaac Dyner, Camila Ochoa, Carlos Franco Abstract Paper

Parallel: Energy and the Environment, chaired by Michael Fletcher

A System Dynamics Approach to Examine Climate Change Impacts: The Case of the State of Guanajuato, México, by Juan Huerta, Marcos Esquivel-Longoria, Fabiola Arellano-Lara, Sergio Dominguez-Ruiz, Fernando Rosales-Flores Abstract Paper

“Counterintuitive Ways Of Doing More With Less” – An SD Contribution To The Urban Water Crisis in the Global South, by Karan Khosla Abstract Paper Supporting Link

A System Dynamics Perspective on Applying a New Energy Efficiency Metric for Data Centers, by James Simonelli Abstract Paper Supporting

Poster: Energy and Resources

A Simulation-based Analysis of Transition Pathways for the Dutch Electricity System, by Gönenç Yucel, Cornelia van Daalen Abstract Paper

Uptake of Alternative Energy Technology by Energy Poor Households in Rural Rajasthan, India, by Andrew Frangos, Sarah Fern, Gautam Yadama, Vaibhav Bhatia Abstract Paper Supporting

Exploring the Future of Wind-Powered Energy, by Caner Hamarat, Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper

A SD-based Analysis of the Market for Hydrogen Fuel Cell Urban Buses, by Marcello Contestabile Abstract Paper Supporting

Challenges of energy as a tool for sustainable development in isolated rural areas, by Yony Fernando Ceballos, Isaac Dyner Abstract

A system dynamics model for assessing the UK carbon market, by Laura Cardenas, Carlos Franco, Isaac Dyner Abstract Paper

A Non Smooth Model of National Energy Market for the Regional Energy Integration, by Johan Manuel Redondo, Isaac Dyner Abstract Paper

System Dynamic Analysis for Development of Renewable Energy Resources in Country, by Dagnija Blumberga, Ilze Dzene, Marika Rosa, Pĺl Davidsen, Erling Moxnes Abstract Paper

A Feedback Perspective on the Diffusion of Energy-Efficient Renovations, by Matthias Mueller, Silvia Ulli-Beer Abstract Paper Link

From Fossil Fuels to Renewable Energy: The Dynamics of Replacement in Brazil, by Joaquim Santos, Marcelo Ramos Martins Abstract Paper Supporting

Mind Meets Heart: Smart Transition Management to Smarten Energy Systems in a Deeply Uncertain World, by Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper

SD simulation for assessing biofuels incentives, by Carlos Franco, Isaac Dyner, Ana María Florez Abstract

Convened Session: C-ROADS Climate Simulation -- Reflections and New Directions, by Andrew Jones, Thomas Fiddaman, John Sterman, Phil Rice, Stephanie McCauley, Lori Siegel, Travis Franck Abstract


Environment and Ecology

Parallel: Development & Resources, chaired by Krystyna Stave

Application of System Dynamics model and GIS in sustainability assessment of urban residential development, by Zhao Xu Abstract Paper Supporting

Resilience, Environmental Variability, and Institutions in a Multi-Species Artisanal Fishery, by Marshall Duer-Balkind, Kasey Jacobs, Burak Guneralp, Xavier Basurto Abstract Paper

Estimating future scenarios for farm-watershed nutrient fluxes – Can on-farm BMPs really do the job at the watershed scale?, by Mark Rivers, David Weaver, Keith Smettem, Peter Davies Abstract Paper Supporting

Parallel: Water Resources, chaired by Imrana Umar

A System Dynamics Approach for Urban Water Reclamation-Reuse Planning, by Fuzhan Nasiri, Troy Savage, Ranran Wang, Nico Barawid, Julie Zimmerman Abstract

Dynamics Model of Eco-Security Surveillance System for the Tamsui River in Taipei City, by Hsiao-Lin Wang, Yu-Feng Ho, Ching-I Wu Abstract Paper

Quantitative Evaluation of the Performance of Water Management System in the Washington Metropolitan Area, by Roma Bhatkoti, Kostas Triantis Abstract Paper

Poster: Resources

Description and demonstration of a simulation learning environment for discovery learning about simple accumulations, by Krystyna Stave, Benjamin Jurand, Heather Skaza Abstract Paper

Might Continued Emphasis on Maize at the Expense of More Drought Tolerant Crops Endanger Food Security in the Horn of Africa?, by Richard Dudley Abstract Paper Supporting Link

The Dynamics in the Dairy Cattle Sector: Policies on Cow Milk Production Can Reduce Greenhouses Gas Emissions and Land Use, by Alberto Stanislao Atzori, Luis Tedeschi, Antonello Cannas Abstract Paper

Effects of Food Availability Policies on National Food Security: Colombian case, by Diana Giraldo, Santiago Arango, Manuel Betancur Abstract Paper

A new dynamic risk analysis framework for CO2 Capture, Transport and Storage chain, by Jaleh Samadi Radani, Emmanuel Garbolino Abstract Paper

Poster: Development

A Simple System Dynamics Model for the Collapse of Complex Societies, by Newton Bueno Abstract Paper Supporting

Athens vs Sparta. When ethical choices enable to reach sustainability, by Nicola Bianchi, Roberto Marcialis Abstract Paper Supporting

Modeling Cases from Jared Diamond's “Collapse”, by Katrina Hull Abstract Paper Supporting

Sociopolitical Factors Influencing Water Shortages in Maharashtra Nagar: A Qualitative Model from the 2011 Winter Institute, by Colleen Kinneen, Margaret Hower Abstract

Understanding Sustainability, Quality of Life and Resilience, by Abby Beck, Krystyna Stave Abstract Paper Supporting

System Dynamics Modeling of Livelihoods and Forest Commons in Dryland Communities of Andhra Pradesh, India, by Nishesh Chalise, Gautam Yadama, Foundation for Ecological Security Abstract Paper


Metaphorical Models for Limits to Growth and Industrialisation, by John Morecroft Abstract Paper Supporting


Health and Health Policy

Plenary: Health Policy, chaired by James Thompson

Seeing Time: Using System Dynamics to Inform Public Health Choices, by Kimberly Thompson Abstract

Individualized Medicine and Biophysical System Dynamics: An Example from Clinical Practice in End Stage Renal Disease, by Jim Rogers, Edward Gallaher, Craig Hocum, David Dingli, T. Ronald Chrisope, James McCarthy Abstract Paper

Modeling the Dynamics of Thyroid Hormones and Related Disorders, by Oylum Seker, Yaman Barlas Abstract Paper

Plenary: Health Dynamics, chaired by James Lyneis

Developing a theory of the societal lifecycle of cigarette smoking: Explaining & anticipating trends using information feedback, by Aldo Zagonel, Mohammad Mojtahedzadeh, George Richardson, Nancy Brodsky, Theresa Brown, Stephen Conrad, Robert Glass Abstract Paper

Beyond Personality Traits and Financial Incentives: Bias and Variation in Medical Practices as Results of Experiential Learning, by Navid Ghaffarzadegan Abstract Paper Supporting

Parallel: New Methods in Health Modeling, chaired by Jim Duggan

Building and estimating a dynamic model of weight gain and loss for individuals and populations, by Nasim Sabounchi, Hazhir Rahmandad Abstract Paper

Comparison between Individual-based and Aggregate Models in the Context of Tuberculosis Transmission, by Yuan Tian, Nathaniel Osgood Abstract Paper

Extending Opinion Dynamics to Model Public Health Problems and the Evaluation of Policy Interventions, by Thomas Moore, Patrick Finley, John Linebarger, Alexander Outkin, Stephen Verzi, Nancy Brodsky, Daniel Cannon, Aldo Zagonel, Robert Glass Abstract Paper

Parallel: Population Health, chaired by Robert Eberlein

A System Dynamics Model of Pharmaceutical Opioids: Medical Use, Diversion, and Nonmedical Use, by Teresa Schmidt, Wayne Wakeland Abstract Paper Supporting

A Simulation Model for Designing Effective Interventions in Early Childhood Caries, by Gary Hirsch, Marcy Frosh, Burton Edelstein, Theresa Anselmo Abstract Paper

Modeling the Dynamics of Dental Health in Older Adults, by Sara Metcalf, Michael Widener, Mary Northridge, Mark Paich, Stephen Marshall, Ira Lamster Abstract Paper Supporting

Parallel: Health Care Modeling, chaired by Gary Hirsch

Maintaining Disparity: Thresholds of Defection, by John Cody, Robert Cavana, David Pearson Abstract Paper

System Dynamics of Diminishing Family Size on Living Arrangements of Singaporeans with Ageing-related Dementia, by James Thompson, Crystal Riley, David Matchar Abstract Paper Supporting

Non-communicable Disease Dynamics and Prevention: Dynamics of Nutritious Food Market Transformation Initiatives, by Jeroen Struben, Derek Chan Abstract Paper

Parallel: Health Care Practices, chaired by Scott Johnson

Using System Dynamics to Plan Investment in Alcohol Services, by Douglas McKelvie, Eric Wolstenholme, Steve Arnold, David Monk Abstract Paper

Improving Health Care Management Through the Use of Dynamic Simulation Modeling and Health Information Systems, by Daniel Goldsmith, Michael Siegel Abstract Paper

The Role of Behaviour Change in Eating and Physical Activity in the Battle against Childhood Obesity, by Brian Dangerfield, Norhaslinda Zainal Abidin Abstract Paper

Poster: Health and Health Policy

Human Stress Response from the System Dynamics Point of View, by Marek Susta, Gustav Bizik Abstract Paper

A System Dynamics Examination of the Use of Performance Enhancing Drugs, by John Voyer, Troy Goddu, Cade Blackburn, Brian Sprague Abstract Paper

Application of System Dynamics to Inform a Model of Human Papillomavirus Vaccination Efficacy, by Susan Sotardi, David Lounsbury, Nicolas Schlecht, Gloria Ho, Mark Einstein Abstract

A Model of Bone Loss Dynamics Due to Disuse and Overload, by Canan Herdem, Yaman Barlas Abstract Paper

Modeling the Spread of Infectious Diseases after Flood in the Rainy Season in South Bandung, Indonesia, by Shimaditya Nuraeni, Takeshi Arai Abstract Paper

A System Dynamics Model for the Clinical Risk Management: a preliminary analysis, by Francesco Ceresia, Giovan Battista Montemaggiore Abstract Paper

Model Based Theory in Health Innovations, by David Rees, Robert Cavana Abstract Paper


HealthBound: The National Health Reform Game, by Jack Homer, Bobby Milstein, Gary Hirsch Abstract Paper Supporting Link


Information Science

Parallel: Information Science / Information Systems, chaired by Vedat Diker

A system dynamics model of post-installation use of enterprise information systems, by Vikas Sahasrabudhe, Shivraj Kanungo Abstract Paper

Modeling Polarization Dynamics in Online Communities, by Hazhir Rahmandad, Mohammad Mahdian Abstract Paper

Modeling the Dynamics of Academic Publications and Citations, by Nisa Onsel, Yaman Barlas Abstract Paper Supporting

Poster: Information Science / Information Systems

Agile Essence, by Warren Tignor Abstract Paper

System Dynamics Modeling for the Future IT Development: Applied to Education, Health Care, and Smart Work System in Korea, by Eun Kyu Lee, Dong-Hwan Kim, Won-Gyu Ha Abstract

A Resource-Based View of Local Digital Government: Core Capabilities for Success from the Case of Mexico, by Luis Luna-Reyes, J. Ramon Gil-Garcia, Fernando Ramirez-Hernandez Abstract Paper

Applications of a Telecom Sector Model for Establishing and Validating Telecom Policies and Strategies, by Boris Ramos Abstract Paper


Getting Started with Powersim Studio, by Leonard Malczynski, Imrana Umar Abstract Link


Methodology in System Dynamics

Plenary: Varieties of System Dynamics Practice, chaired by John Morecroft

Varieties of System Dynamics Practice, by Alan Graham Abstract Paper Supporting

Lots of Loops: Lessons from using System Dynamics for Complex Governmental Decisions, by James Baker, Tom Mullen Abstract Paper

Crafting System Dynamics Models and Making them Accessible: Lessons from 40 Years of Practice, by John Richardson Abstract Paper

Parallel: Model Building - Structure and Data, chaired by Özge Pala

Calibration of Complex System Dynamics Models: A Practitioner's Report, by Rod Walker, Wayne Wakeland Abstract Paper Supporting

Perception is more than time delays, by Özge Pala, Etiënne Rouwette Abstract

Documentation: Recalling the Forgotten Important, by John Huertas Quiroga Abstract Paper

Parallel: Understanding Model Behavior, chaired by James Thompson

Using System Dynamics Methodology to Generate Insights: An Example from Singaporean Population Health, by Crystal Riley, James Thompson, David Matchar Abstract Paper Supporting

Measuring Dynamic Complexity: A Standardized Measure for System Dynamics Simulation Models, by Stefan Groesser Abstract Paper Supporting Link

Investigating an Automated Method for the Sensitivity Analysis of Functions, by Sibel Eker, Jill Slinger, Gönenç Yucel Abstract Paper

Parallel: Modeling Approaches, chaired by R. Joel Rahn

Major Issues in Mixed Use of Grounded Theory and System Dynamics Approaches in Qualitative Secondary Data, by Bahadir Akcam, Senem Guney, Anthony Cresswell Abstract Paper

Problem Structuring Methods in System Dynamics Modeling: a Cognitive Fit Perspective, by Arash Golnam, Sérgio Viana, Alain Wegmann Abstract Paper

What Is a Validation Methodology? Analyzing and Synthesizing two Meanings, by Stefan Groesser Abstract Link

Poster: Model Development

Quantitative systems dynamics: Comparison of modeling techniques for the simulation of electro-mechanical systems, by Pablo Viejo Garcia, Jose Gonzalez, Oscar Barambones, Enrique Kremers Abstract Paper

A Soft Landing Model and a Mass-Spring Damper Based Control Heuristic, by Togay Tanyolac, Hakan Yasarcan Abstract Paper

SILVERVIZ: Extending SILVER for coordination in distributed collaborative modeling, by Yudi Xue, Nathaniel Osgood, Carl Gutwin Abstract

Poster: Using and Communicating Models

Reflections on the Validity of T21 and PCM, System Dynamics Integrated National Development Planning Simulation Models, by Andrea Bassi Abstract Paper

How best to present model structure to decision makers? An experimental study of the effectiveness of the Forio model explorer, by William Schoenberg Abstract Paper

Capacity Adjustment in a Service Facility with Reactive Customers and Delays: Simulation and Experimental Analysis, by Carlos Delgado, Erik Larsen, Ann van Ackere, Santiago Arango Abstract Paper

Poster: Modeling Approaches

Extending System Dynamics approach to higher index DAE’s, by Tomasz Zawadzki, Radostaw Pytlak Abstract Paper

Sensitivity Analysis Techniques for System Dynamics Models of Human Behavior, by Asmeret Bier Abstract Paper

Open Source System Dynamics with Simantics and OpenModelica, by Teemu Lempinen, Sampsa Ruutu, Peter Ylen, Tommi Karhela Abstract Paper

An Object-Oriented Type System for System Dynamics, by Bobby Powers Abstract

Fuzzy Modeling of Linguistic Variables in a System Dynamics Context, by Nasim Sabounchi, Kostas Triantis, Sudipta Sarangi, Shiyong Liu Abstract Paper Supporting


Reviewing for Conferences and Journals, by Stefan Groesser, Martin Schaffernicht Abstract Link

Building and Analyzing Models with Vensim, by Thomas Fiddaman Abstract Link

Advanced Modeling with Powersim Studio, by Leonard Malczynski, Imrana Umar Abstract Paper

A Hands-On Introduction to SILVER: Software in Support of the Collaborative System Dynamics Modeling Process, by Yudi Xue, Nathaniel Osgood Abstract

Optimization with Vensim, by Thomas Fiddaman Abstract Link

System Dynamics Model Documentation and Assessment Tool (SDM-Doc), by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano Abstract Link

Getting Started with My Strategy Software, by Kim Warren, Christina Spencer Abstract


Methodology: Alternative Approaches

Parallel: Multiple Methodologies, chaired by Brian Dangerfield

iSimPlus: A Multi-Method Simulation Tool for Modelling Complex Systems, by Jim Duggan Abstract Paper Supporting

How do system dynamic models (SD) capture path dependent and complex evolutionary behaviour in social science analysis?, by Edoardo Mollona Abstract Paper

A Multi-scale Paradigm to Design Obesity Policy: Exploring the Integration of Individual- Based Modeling and System Dynamics, by Özge Karanfil, Thomas Moore, Patrick Finley, Theresa Brown, Aldo Zagonel, Robert Glass Abstract Paper

Poster: Methodology: Alternative Approaches

Approaching the Tipping Point: Critical Transitions in Systems, by Maximilian Mrotzek Abstract Paper

Modeling asset and liability dynamics for pension funds defined benefit plans, by Ricardo Chaim Abstract Paper

Considering Combining: Designs for the Complementary Use of System Dynamics and Discrete Event Simulation, by Jennifer Morgan, Susan Howick, Valerie Belton Abstract Paper Supporting


Operations Management/Supply Chains

Parallel: Operations Management, chaired by J. Bradley Morrison

Designing and Managing the Virtual Enterprise - A Breakthrough Application for System Dynamics Using SimBLOX and scmBLOX, by William Killingsworth, J. Chris White, Robert Sholtes Abstract Paper

Strategic Analysis of Product Recovery Management by Using System Dynamics Approach, by Beril Uzmez, Necati Aras, Yaman Barlas Abstract Paper Supporting

Emergency Department Crowding: Vicious Cycles in the ED, by J. Bradley Morrison, Robert Wears Abstract Paper

Parallel: Supply Chains, chaired by Jeroen Struben

Retailer’s Order Decisions under Delays: System Dynamics and Experimental Results, by Sebastian Villa, Paulo Goncalves, Santiago Arango Abstract Paper

Simulation based Analysis of Service Levels in Stable Production-Inventory Systems, by Jayendran Venkateswaran, Kaushik Margabandu, D. Bijulal, Nandyala Hemachandra Abstract Paper Supporting

Information Sharing in Supply Chains: A Systemic Approach, by Hakan Yasarcan Abstract Paper

Poster: Operations Management / Supply Chains

Addressing Retail Out-of-Stock Issues Using System Dynamics, by Sheng Liu, J. Chris White, Robert Sholtes Abstract Paper

A System Dynamics Model For Replacement and Overhaul Policy For Capital Asset Subject To Technological Change, by Farid Mardin, Takeshi Arai Abstract Paper

System Dynamics in Reverse Logistics Processes, by Roberto Villaseńor Abstract Paper

Innovation Projects & Portfolios: Admitting Change and Rework to Meet Escalating Expectations, by Edward Anderson, Nitin Joglekar Abstract Paper

The role of collaboration through manufactured goods’ exportation process under System Dynamics analysis, by Vanina Silva, Antonio Coelho, Antonio Novaes Abstract Paper

Analyzing Training Programs from a KM perspective: A System Dynamics model, by Mauricio Uriona Maldonado, Gregorio Varvakis Abstract Paper

Hockey-stick phenomenon: supply chain challenges in Emerging countries, by Lars Sanches, Orlando Lima Abstract Paper Supporting

A Supply Chain Paradox, by Anson Li, Kambiz Maani Abstract Paper


Organizational Dynamics

Parallel: Organizational Dynamics, chaired by Randy Park

Dynamics of Shared Capitalism Policies, by Joe Hsueh, John Sterman Abstract Paper

Raising Implementation Effectiveness of Innovations by Considering Structural Aspects of Organizations, by Philipp Wunderlich, Andreas Groessler Abstract Paper

Closing the Leadership Gap: One Step Closer using System Dynamics, by Deborah Campbell Abstract Paper Supporting

Parallel: Organizational Dynamics, chaired by Elise Weaver

Dynamics of Combat Aviator Training, by James Enos Abstract Paper

Dynamic Decision-Making, Learning, and Mental Models, by Anson Li, Kambiz Maani Abstract Paper

Mechanisms of consumer boycotts: Evidence from the Nestlé infant food controversy, by Nicole Zimmermann Abstract Paper Supporting

Poster: Organizational Dynamics

How can Organizational Capacity help to clarify Project Performance? A system dynamics model, by Didier Cumenal, Philippe Boigey Abstract Paper Supporting

A generalized growth model for strategic analysis, by Charles Jones Abstract Paper Supporting

The Leadership Game: Experiencing Dynamic Complexity under Deep Uncertainty, by Erik Pruyt, Jesse Segers, Sertaç Oruc Abstract Paper


Participatory Approaches to Modeling and Simulation

Parallel: Advances in Knowledge Elicitation, chaired by Etiënne Rouwette

Scriptapedia: A Handbook of Scripts for Developing Structured Group Model Building Sessions, by Peter Hovmand, Etiënne Rouwette, David Andersen, George Richardson, Annaliese Calhoun, Krista Rux, Timothy Hower Abstract Paper Supporting

What’s Wrong with This Picture? — Group Knowledge Elicitation with Progressive Concept Models, by Carmen Lee, James Thompson Abstract Paper

A Dialogue Game for Group Model Building, by Stijn Hoppenbrouwers, Etiënne Rouwette Abstract

Parallel: Models and Roles in Participation, chaired by Allyson Beall

Strengthening Links Between Anthropologists and System Dynamicists: Participatory Group Modeling & Natural Resources, by Carol Colfer, Richard Dudley Abstract Paper

Towards a shared systems model of stakeholders in tourism development in the Cat Ba biosphere reserve of Vietnam, by Thanh Mai Abstract Paper

Whose Model is it Anyway?, by Peter Hovmand, Laura Brennan, Nishesh Chalise Abstract Paper Supporting

Poster: Object Use and Distributed Involvement in Participative Modeling

Web-based Participatory System Dynamics Modelling – Concept and Prototype Development, by Bo Hu, Armin Leopold Abstract Paper

Object use as a framework to study model use in group model building, by Timothy Bolt, Steffen Bayer, Maria Kapsali, Sally Brailsford Abstract

The Use of Financial Products and Services in Low Income African-American Communities, by Timothy Hower, Peter Hovmand, Krista Rux, Yvonne Sparks, Daniel Davis Abstract Paper

Distributed Group Problem Solving, by Bruce Skarin Abstract Paper Link


How to Build Collaborative Online Planning Simulations for Public Policy and Business, by Michael Bean, William Schoenberg Abstract

How to Build Online Simulation Games for Classroom Use, by Michael Bean, William Schoenberg Abstract Link


Public Policy

Parallel: Public Policy, chaired by Joern Ewaldt

Social Dynamics of Traffic-Related Pardons in Korea, by Man-Hyung Lee, Nam Hee Choi, Yoo-Jeong Ahn, Gi Soo Kim Abstract Paper

Coordination Failures in Complex Environments: A Model for Primary Education Systems in Developing Countries, by Porfirio Guevara, Roy Zuniga, Luis Lopez Abstract Paper

Parallel: Public Policy, chaired by Man-Hyung Lee

Reducing CO2 Emissions due to a shift from Road to Cabotage Transport of Cargo in Brazil, by Irineu de Brito, Celso Hino, Paulo Goncalves, Luiz Andrade, Charliston Moreira, Gustavo Costa, Luis Nardin, Hugo Yoshida Yoshizaki, David Jose de Magalhaes Abstract Paper

BioPOL: biofuel modeling, sensitivity analysis and discussion on biofuel support policies under inherent uncertainties, by Burkhard Schade Abstract

Sustainability of Self Sufficiency Level of Rice in Malaysia under Trade Liberalization, by Emmy Farha Alias, Fatimah Arshad, Kusairi Noh, Muhammad Tasrif, Aswani Mohd Noh Abstract Supporting

Parallel: Public Policy: Implementation and Reflection, chaired by Daniel Arthur

The Validity Tests Used by Social Scientists and Decision Makers, by Adam Eckerd, David Landsbergen, Anand Desai Abstract Paper

Exploratory Policy Design, by David Wheat, Lili Shi Abstract Paper

Future research directions in Governance and Policy Making under the UE prism of ICT for Governance and Policy Modelling, by Stefano Armenia, Yannis Charalabidis, Diego Falsini, Fenareti Lampathaki, David Osimo, Katarzyna Szkuta Abstract Paper Link

Parallel: Public Policy, chaired by Markus Schwaninger

System Dynamics of Hypothetical and Realistic Demographics: Implications of Foreign Labour Policy, by John Ansah, James Thompson, Crystal Riley Abstract Paper Supporting

Why Formal Housing Alternatives in Developing Countries are Insufficient, Inadequate, and Unaffordable?, by Andres Blanco Abstract Paper Supporting

Language Evolution in Québec: Network effects and clustering, by Jeroen Struben, Charles Gauvin Abstract Paper

Parallel: Public Policy, chaired by Roderick MacDonald

How does the Multi-Level Perspective help to conceptualize a System Dynamics analysis of a specific transition challenge?, by Silvia Ulli-Beer Abstract Paper

Analysis of malaria trends and policy options for sub Saharan Africa through the Malaria Management Model, by Matteo Pedercini, Santiago Movilla Blanco, Birgit Kopainsky Abstract Paper

Using System Dynamics to Assess a Web 2.0 Governance Model for Public Service Delivery, by Lanfranco Marasso, Marco Alessi, Ivan Ficano, Marco Burgarello, Giorgio Cavaliere, Enzo Bivona Abstract

Parallel: Regional Development & Urban Dynamics, chaired by David Andersen

Using model to identify and meet potential challenges in regional development: The ECOWAS T21 case, by Weishuang Qu, Herve Lohoues, John Shilling, Matteo Pedercini Abstract Paper

Regional Economic Growth and Municipal Financial Planning: An Application of A System Dynamics Model to Calgary, by Stanley Kongnetiman, Wenhui Fan, Patrick Walters, Nathaniel Osgood Abstract Paper

Houdini: a System Dynamics Model for Housing Market Reforms, by Martijn Eskinasi, Etiënne Rouwette, Jac Vennix Abstract Paper Supporting

Poster: National Public Policy

System Dynamics as a Method for Analyzing Human Trafficking, by Robin Dillon-Merrill, James Grimes, Catherine Tinsley Abstract Paper Supporting

Exploring Demographic Shifts: Ageing and Migration in a Deeply Uncertain Dynamically Complex World, by Erik Pruyt, Thomas Logtens, Govert Gijsbers Abstract Paper Supporting

CA_RE: Assessing Carbon Reduction through the introduction of a carbon tax. The case of Italy, by Luciano Canova, Vincenzo Di Giulio, Stefania Migliavacca, Elisa Baria, Valentina Ciatteo, Raffaele Imperato Abstract Supporting

The Market Economy of Trips, by Dimitris Papanikolaou, John Sterman Abstract

Poster: Public Policy

Exploring the Long-Term Development of Festival Tourism and Culture Policies- a Case of the Hakka Tung Blossom Festival, by Jian-Jing Li, Jian Hung Chen Abstract

System Dynamics Model on Medicine Mobilization in Emergency, by Qingxue Ding, Ying Qian, Lixin Shu, Shengxin Chen Abstract

Simulations for Comprehensive Operations, by Corey Lofdahl Abstract

Learning Lab for Sustainability -Theory and Case Study, by Kambiz Maani Abstract


Policy Modeling Workshop, by David Wheat Abstract


Qualitative System Dynamics

Parallel: Qualitative System Dynamics, chaired by Michael Deegan

The use of qualitative modeling to derive qualitative policy implications from structural aspects of a model – a practical case, by Martin Schaffernicht Abstract Paper Supporting

Using a Qualitative System Dynamics Approach to Investigate Perception of Corruption, by Muhammad Ullah, Tiru Arthanari Abstract Paper

Causal Maps to Analyze Policy Complexity and Intergovernmental Coordination: An empirical study of floodplain recommendations, by Michael Deegan Abstract Paper Supporting



Parallel: Dynamic Models of Firm and Industry Performance, chaired by Allyson Beall

Sustainable Growth Strategies for Indian Shrimp Industry: A Multiple Perspective, by S. K. Prusty, Pratap Mohapatra, C. K. Mukherjee Abstract Paper

Dynamic model in understanding dynamics of competitiveness: system dynamics approach in mobile handset vendor business, by Samuli Kortelainen, Hannu Karkkainen Abstract Paper

Learning from System Dynamics Simulations: Simulations for Time Compression or for Time Dilation, by Allyson Beall, Andrew Ford, Alan Brothers Abstract Paper

Poster: Social Problems and Social Remedies

Nuclear Waste Management: Strategic Framework for Large-Scale Government Programs: Addressing Legacy Waste from the Cold War, by Gregory Love, Chris Glazner, Sam Steckley, Kristin Lee Abstract Paper

Poster: Firm Resources and Firm Strategy

Under the Golden Arches: Disruptive and Conventional Product and Firm Dynamics under Consumer Heterogeneity and Network Effects, by Hannah Rakoff, Jeroen Struben Abstract Paper Supporting


System Dynamics Society
Sessions by Thread updated by rl: November 11, 2011.