Sessions by Thread
The 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society
St. Gallen, Switzerland --
July 22-26, 2012

Business Applications

Plenary: Complexities and Leverage Points, chaired by Pĺl Davidsen

A Competitor’s Strategy Unclothed: How Indirect Measurement Justified Not Fighting an Insurance Price War, by Stan Corcoran, Alan Graham, William Arthur, David Peterson Abstract Paper

Parallel: Growth Dynamics / Resource-Based View, chaired by Christina Spencer

To Grow or Not to Grow? A Multiple-Cases Study on the Growth Dynamics in Medical Care Software Firms, by Wei Yang Wang Abstract Paper

“Strategy Dynamics of a Social Enterprise in India” – Impacts of System Dynamics on conventional strategy formulation, by Karan Khosla Abstract Paper Supporting

Parallel: Applications: durability, errors and testing, chaired by Sharon Els

Using System Dynamics to Create Durable Business Strategy- US Air Conditioning Industry Case Study, by Warren Farr Abstract Paper Supporting

Estimating the impact factor of undiscovered design errors on construction quality, by Kiavash Parvan, Hazhir Rahmandad, Ali Haghani Abstract Paper Supporting

The Wizard of Oz & System Dynamics' Application to System Test, by Merrill Kendall Abstract Paper

Parallel: Large Business Management, chaired by David Peterson

Dynamics of value-based management – – does shareholder value cause short-termism?, by Robert Rieg Abstract Paper Supporting

Dynamics of Strategic Initiatives and Expected Performance: An Application of Flexible Strategy Game-card, by Neetu Yadav, Sushil Sushil, Mahim Sagar Abstract Paper Supporting

The impact of competitive interactions on category penetration and purchase frequency of mature FMCG categories, by Laurent Rochat, Ann van Ackere Abstract Paper Supporting

Poster: Innovation, Learning & Business Management

Linking Innovation and Service Productivity - An analysis of interactive effects in knowledge-intensive business services, by Christian Lerch, Thomas Schmall, Matthias Gotsch Abstract Paper

Organizational learning effects in productivity: a dynamic hypothesis proposal for shipyard learning, by André Baitello, Marcelo Ramos Martins Abstract Paper Supporting

Modeling Movie Release Strategies, by Christopher Hughes Abstract Supporting

A System Dynamics Model of Evolving Supply Chain Relationships and Inter-firm Trust, by Ya-tsai Tseng, Wei Yang Wang Abstract Paper

Poster: Agricultural Business: Terrestrial & Aquatic

The role of system dynamics approaches in aquatic disease management: an application to sea lice control in Norway, by Kanar Hamza, Karl Rich, David Wheat Abstract Paper

Heating or Transporting, by Marta Somogyvari, Tibor Kiss, Viktor Kiss, József Vajda Abstract Paper Supporting

Strategic Control of Agro-Industrial Cooperatives: A Strategic Map Proposal, by Roberto Protil, Reginaldo Barreiros Abstract Paper

Economic Evaluation of Agronomic Research In Agricultural Cooperatives: Proposal of a Dynamic Scorecard Model, by Roberto Protil, Alfredo Kugeratski Souza Abstract Paper


Getting Started With AnyLogic and Multimethod Simulation Modeling Workshop, by Alena Beloshapko, Andrei Borshchev, Vladimir Koltchanov Abstract


Conflict, Defense and Security

Parallel: Conflict, Defense, and Security II, chaired by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano

Integrated Risk-Capability Analysis under Deep Uncertainty: an Integrated ESDMA Approach, by Erik Pruyt, Caner Hamarat, Jan Kwakkel Abstract Paper

Dynamics of Reconstruction Projects, by James Enos Abstract Paper

Energy Security Dynamics, by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano, Charles Macal, David Sallach Abstract

Parallel: Conflict, Defense, and Security I, chaired by Edward Anderson

Organizational Participation in Cooperative Cyber Security, by Asmeret Bier Abstract Paper

Collaborative Decision Making in a Simulated Stability Operations Exercise: A Prototype Decision Support Tool, by Daniel Lafond, Ashley Beattie, Michel DuCharme, Sébastien Tremblay Abstract Paper

Modeling Aviation Security Processes: Dynamics of the Introduction of New Technology in a Complex Socio-technical System, by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano, Stephen Conrad, Andrew Cox, M. Samsa Abstract

Poster: Conflict, Defense, and Security

Model of Drivers of Fear-Induced Consumer Avoidance Behaviors Post-Incident, by Munaf Aamir, Vanessa Vargas Abstract Paper Supporting

Research on make or buy decision making strategy using system dynamics: Focused on Korea’s military improvement project, by Jeong Hwan Choi, Seongpil Ko, Jeong Dong Lee Abstract Paper


Economic Dynamics

Parallel: Economics Infrastructure I, chaired by Nicholas Georgantzas

Interrelations Between Demography and Economy: The Decline of Fertility Rate, an Analysis With System Dynamics, by M. Dolores Soto-Torres, Ramon Fernandez-Lechon, Pedro Fernandez Soto Abstract Paper

Modeling the survival of Athenian owl tetradrachms struck in the period from 526 BC to 42 AD, from 526 BC to the present, by Harald Sverdrup, Peter Schlyter Abstract Paper Supporting

A dynamic model of two competing cities: the effects of competition on tolls and land use, by Simon Shepherd, Chandra Balijepalli Abstract Paper

Parallel: Economics Infrastructure II, chaired by Leonard Malczynski

Germany's Electricity Industry in 2025: Evaluation of Portfolio Concepts, by Armin Leopold, Bo Hu, Klaus Arto, Irina Dolgopolova Abstract Paper

Insights into Income Policy for Enhancing Employment and Stability of Capital Accumulation, by Alexander Ryzhenkov Abstract Paper Supporting

Modelling the gold market, explaining the past and assessing the physical and economical sustainability of future scenarios, by Harald Sverdrup, Deniz Koca, Christer Granath Abstract Paper

Parallel: Monetary Policy, chaired by Alexander Ryzhenkov

Taylor Ruling Brazil – a System Dynamics Model for Monetary Policy Feedback, by Felix Neugebauer Abstract Paper Supporting

Money Multiplier Dynamics and Banking Liquidity Cycles, by David Peterson, Mariano Blanc Abstract Paper Supporting

On the Monetary and Financial Stability under A Public Money System - Modeling the American Monetary Act Simplified, by Kaoru Yamaguchi Abstract Paper

Parallel: Monetary Policy and Ecological Economics, chaired by Brian Dangerfield

Systemic Financial Feedbacks - Conceptual Framework and Modeling Implications, by Dieter Gramlich, Mikhail Oet Abstract Paper

Linking Economic Modeling and System Dynamics: A Basic Model for Monetary Policy and Macroprudential Regulation, by Klaus John Abstract Paper

Using System Dynamics to Contribute to Ecological Economics, by Takuro Uehara, Yoko Nagase, Wayne Wakeland Abstract Paper Supporting

Poster: Economic Dynamics

How Can Mitigation and Adaptive Capacities to Climate Change Be Best Enhanced in Spain? A Human Values Evolutionary Approach, by Neus Raines Abstract Paper Supporting

The Reward System in Art Markets: a system dynamics approach, by Fernando Buendia Abstract Paper

Collected system dynamics works on recent real estate dynamics, by Martijn Eskinasi Abstract Paper Supporting

Competition Between Firms – System Dynamics and Other Approaches, by Michael Joffe Abstract Paper Supporting

ERM quantitative risk analysis methods and techniques applied to a small commercial bank, by Ricardo Chaim Abstract Paper

Expansion Economies: The Growth of the Firm through its Globalization, by Fernando Buendia Abstract Paper

A System Dynamics Model of a Local Economy with Bi-Currency System, by Aysen Eren Abstract Paper

Modeling the Impacts of Middle East and North Africa Unrest on the Global Oil Price, by Mohammad Hussein Rafiei Sakhaei, Masoud Jabbari Abstract Paper Supporting

European Union Economy System Dynamic Model Development, by Valerijs Skribans Abstract Paper


An Introduction to Macroeconomic Modeling - Accounting System Dynamics Approach, by Kaoru Yamaguchi Abstract


Energy and Resources

Plenary: Complexities and Leverage Points, chaired by David Lane

Future Development of 2nd generation Biofuels in Transport considering Learning Rates, by Burkhard Schade Abstract Paper

Parallel: Security and Reclamation, chaired by Asmeret Bier

Water Cycle Analysis System Dynamics Model for Designing Optimal Water Reclamation Scheduling, by Shinsuke Takahashi Abstract Paper

Analysing the Uncertain Future of Copper with Three Exploratory System Dynamics Models, by Willem Auping, Erik Pruyt, Jan Kwakkel Abstract Paper Supporting

Understanding and Managing the Threat of Disruptive Events to the Critical National Infrastructure, by Kim Warren, Robert Thurlby Abstract Paper

Parallel: Adoption patterns of clean technologies, chaired by Laura Peterson

Policy Resistance to Fuel Efficient Cars and the Adoption of Next-Generation Technologies, by Peter Stasinopoulos, Paul Compston, Haley Jones Abstract Paper

Understanding Spatiotemporal Patterns of Hybrid-Electric Vehicle Adoption in the United States, by David Keith, John Sterman, Jeroen Struben Abstract Supporting

The Transition of the Residential Heat Market in Germany - A Dynamic Simulation Approach, by Susanne Schmidt, Tobias Jaeger, Ute Karl Abstract Paper

Parallel: Road transportation and nuclear, chaired by Isaac Dyner

Assessing threats and opportunities of induced technology change: Long and short term cycles in the carmaker industry, by Silvia Ulli-Beer, Benjamin Boksberger, Manuel Bouza, Alexander Wokaun Abstract Paper

Modelling Ethanol Supply, Demand and Price in the Brazilian Macro Economy, by Erico Santos, Pĺl Davidsen Abstract Paper Supporting

Poster: Analyzing options of clean energy production and use

System dynamics modelling for assessing promotion strategies of biofuels used in land transportation, by George Papachristos, Emmanuel Adamides Abstract Paper

System-Based Feedback Analysis of E-Mobility Diffusion in China, by André Kuehn, Simon Gloeser Abstract Paper Supporting

Is it Really Greener in the Cloud? An Investigation of Energy Trends in Cloud Computing, by Chris Browne, Haley Jones, Paul Compston Abstract Paper Supporting

Using System Dynamics for Uncertainty Analysis and Integrated Risk Assessment in Geothermal Energy Development, by Thomas Lowry, Sean McKenna, Teklu Hadgu, Elena Kalinina Abstract Paper

Oil Policy Regret Analysis With System Dynamics Models, by Frank Blaskovich Abstract Paper Supporting

Fuel taxes as an energy saving policy – potential misperceptions of dynamic effects, by Stian Hackett Abstract Paper Supporting

System Dynamics of the Competition of Municipal Solid Waste to Landfill, Electricity, and Liquid Fuel in California, by Jessica Westbrook, Leonard Malczynski Abstract Paper

Poster: Electricity, gas, water, oil and sustainability

An Application of System Dynamics in Electricity Supply Systems: Case of Yazd Regional Electricity Company in Iran, by Mohammad Owlia, Hossein Dastkhan Abstract Paper

The WORLD model: Peak metals, minerals, energy, wealth, food and population, by Harald Sverdrup, Deniz Koca, Vala Ragnarsdottir Abstract Paper

Power Generation Capacity Planning Under Ecological, Security and Economic Criteria: The Mexican Case, by Rogerio Domenge Munoz Abstract Paper Link

Making progress towards defossilisation: modelling low-carbon policy for power generation, by Laura Cardenas, Isaac Dyner, Carlos Franco Abstract

The crises of water and population: The case of central Iran, by Arman Sadreddin, Jamshid Parvizian Abstract Paper

Uncertainties in the Development of Unconventional Gas in the Netherlands, by Sibel Eker, Cornelia van Daalen Abstract Paper

A system dynamics model to achieve sustainable production of oil in Iran, by Gholamreza Eslamifar, Amir MohammadShirazi, Ali Mashayekhi Abstract Paper Supporting


Environment and Ecology

Parallel: Planning for Sustainability, chaired by Justus Gallati

Designing Perpetual Sustainability Improvement Programs for Built Infrastructures, by Amy Kim, Vahid Faghihi, Amir R. Hessami, David Ford Abstract Paper Supporting

Climate Change Actions in the Urban Context: A Tool for Decision Makers, by Monika Heyder, Alessandra Goetz, Susanne Schmidt, Maria Sipowicz, Pablo Viejo Garcia, Simon Aulagnier Abstract Paper

Reducing the Climate Impact of Transport – Technologies and Policies for Road Transport, by Michael Krail, Wolfgang Schade Abstract Paper

Parallel: Environmental Group Model Building, chaired by Joanne Egner

Exploring Environmental Management Evolution through Maturity States and Behavior Over Time Graphs, by Marta Ormazabal, Eliot Rich, Jose Mari Sarriegi Abstract Paper

Using Casual Loop Diagrams & Systems Analysis to Explore Alternative Climate Change Adaptation Strategies in Seyhan River Basin, by Deniz Koca, Harald Sverdrup Abstract Paper

Handling complex environmental issues. Group modeling as a deliberative platform at the science-policy-democracy interface, by Peter Schlyter, Ingrid Stjernquist, Harald Sverdrup Abstract Paper

Parallel: Environmental Dynamics & Methods, chaired by John Hayward

Exploratory system dynamics: a directed search for limits to global water use, by Jan Kwakkel, Jos Timmermans Abstract Paper

A System Dynamics Bioeconomic Model for Ecologically Sustainable Economic Development in Coastal Ecosystems, by Georgia Mavrommati, Kostas Bithas, Panayiotis Panayiotidis Abstract Paper

A System Dynamics Model-Based Exploratory Analysis of Salt Water Intrusion in Coastal Aquifers, by Jan Kwakkel, Jill Slinger Abstract Paper

Parallel: Managing the Environment, chaired by José Perez Rios

Can We Reverse the Atmospheric CO2 Concentration Trend Using Cooperation? Model-based Management for Effective Cooperation, by Jorge Andrick Parra Valencia, Isaac Dyner Abstract Paper Supporting

Application of System Dynamics to Assess Mass Flows of Waste Electrical and Electronic Equipment (WEEE), by Deepali Khetriwal, Rolf Widmer, Markus Schwaninger, Lorenz Hilty Abstract

Searching for the magnificent mountain landscape – environmental management in the Swedish mountain areas, by Ingrid Stjernquist, Harald Sverdrup, Peter Schlyter, Salim Belyazid, Deniz Koca, Ulrika Jonsson-Belyazid Abstract Paper

Poster: Planning for Sustainability

Understanding Urban Quality of Life and Sustainability: Model Development and Validation, by Abby Beck, Krystyna Stave Abstract Paper

Model Conceptualization for Sustainable Waste and Resource Management Policy Design in Low and Middle-Income Countries, by Nicolas Escalante Abstract Paper Supporting

Modeling Support for National Park Planning: Initial Results from a Case Study of Glacier National Park, by Andrew Ford, Thuy Nguyen, Allyson Beall Abstract Paper

Analysis of adaptation processes to offset the climate change effects on farming systems in Kenya, by Santiago Movilla Blanco Abstract

A System Dynamics Approach to Assess Global Climate Change in Quantity/Quality Water along the U.S.-Mexico Trans-Border Region, by Jorge Duran Encalada, Erick Bandala, Alberto Paucar-Caceres Abstract

Poster: Climate, pollution and waste management

Ozone Depleted and Depletion of Cooperation: Model-based Management Assessment to Make Collective Action Sustainable Overtime, by Jorge Andrick Parra Valencia, Isaac Dyner Abstract Paper Supporting


Health and Health Policy

Plenary: Complexities and Leverage Points, chaired by David Lane

ReThink Health Dynamics: Understanding and Influencing Local Health System Change, by Gary Hirsch, Jack Homer, Bobby Milstein, John Sterman, Christina Ingersol, Leigh Scherrer, Laura Landy, Elliott Fisher Abstract Paper

Parallel: Biology and Epidemiology, chaired by Gary Hirsch

Modeling the dynamics of human body growth and maintenance, by Hazhir Rahmandad Abstract Paper Supporting

Modelling the initiation, progress, symptoms, expressions and possible treatment of multiple sclerosis, by Harald Sverdrup, Vala Ragnarsdottir, Thomas Wood, Ulrik Sverdrup Abstract Paper

Adaptive Policymaking under Deep Uncertainty: Optimal Preparedness for the next pandemic, by Caner Hamarat, Erik Pruyt, Jan Kwakkel Abstract Paper

Parallel: Health Care Delivery, chaired by Ralph Levine

Re-designing policy and process in health care service delivery: a system dynamics case study, by Tom Rust, Khalid Saeed, Isa Bar-On, Oleg Pavlov Abstract Paper

Care & Cure Combined: Using Simulation to Develop Organization Design Theory for Health Care Processes, by Angele Pieters, Kim van Oorschot, Henk Akkermans Abstract Paper Supporting

Revisiting the Roberts-Levin Patient Dropout Model, by Vincent de Gooyert, Christian Erik Kampmann Abstract Paper Supporting

Parallel: Health Policy I, chaired by Peter Lacey

System Dynamics Modeling of Medical Use, Nonmedical Use and Diversion of Prescription Opioid Analgesics, by Wayne Wakeland, Alexandra Nielsen, Teresa Schmidt Abstract Paper Supporting

Societal Aging in the Netherlands: Exploratory System Dynamics Modeling and Analysis, by Thomas Logtens, Erik Pruyt, Govert Gijsbers Abstract Paper Supporting

Deceased Donor Potential for Organ Transplantation: A System Dynamics Framework, by Gary Hirsch, Khalid Saeed, Karl McCleary, Kevin Myer Abstract Paper

Parallel: Health Policy II, chaired by Wayne Wakeland

The cause of growing foreign-trained nurse concentration and its impact, by Carmen Lee, James Thompson, Robert Eberlein Abstract Paper Supporting

Simulating the Impact of Long-term Care Policy on Family Eldercare Hours, by John Ansah, David Matchar, Sean Love, Rahul Malhotra, Angelique Chan, Robert Eberlein Abstract

An Extended SIR Model to Explore the Impact of Syndromic Data Sources on Social Distancing Policy, by Jim Duggan Abstract Paper Supporting

Poster: Biology and Epidemiology

A System Simulation Model for Type 2 Diabetes in the Saskatoon Health Region, by Winfried Grassmann, Jin Zhang, Roland Dyck, Nathaniel Osgood Abstract Paper

Cortisol Dynamics in Various Stress-Related Disorders, by Gustav Bizik, Marek Susta Abstract

Agent-based modeling of College Drinking Behavior and mapping of feedback mechanism of alcohol reduction, by Edward Ip, Mark Wolfson, Douglas Easterling, Erin Sutfin, Kimberly Wagoner, Jill Blocker, Kathleen Egan, Hazhir Rahmandad, Shyu-Huei Chen Abstract Paper

Developing Scenarios for Deeply Uncertain Dynamically Complex Risks: Exploring Plausible Futures of Lyme Disease, by Erik Pruyt, Jeroen Coumou Abstract Paper

Modeling Fertility in Lithuania: A Preliminary Report, by David Wheat Abstract

Poster: Health Care

Strategic implications of workplace policies on nursing capacity planning, by James Thompson, John Ansah, Carmen Lee, Robert Eberlein Abstract Paper Supporting

Modeling a Policy for Managing Polio Vaccine in Japan: Scenario Planning Based on System Dynamics, by Yosuke Nakajima, Toshiyuki Yasui, Yoshiaki Ohkami, Naohiko Kotake Abstract Paper Supporting

Serving the Long-term Care Needs of an Aging Population, by John Ansah, Robert Eberlein, Sean Love, James Thompson, David Matchar Abstract


Information Science

Poster: Information Science and Technology Applications

System Dynamics Models of Information Systems Investment Appraisal, by Michael Kennedy Abstract


Getting Started with Powersim Studio, by Leonard Malczynski Abstract Link


Knowledge, Learning and Teaching

Plenary: The Trouble with Stocks and Flows, chaired by Elke Husemann

Tangible Stock/Flow Experiments -- Addressing Issues of Naturalistic Decision Making, by Andreas Groessler, Jürgen Strohhecker Abstract Paper

Stock-flow failure can be explained by the task design, by Helen Fischer, Christina Degen Abstract Paper

Plenary: Learning from Models, chaired by Robert Eberlein

Developing Business Simulation Games for a Mainstream Audience, by Michael Bean Abstract Paper

Assessing understanding and learning about dynamic systems, by Birgit Kopainsky, Maria Saldarriaga Abstract Paper

Presidential Address, by David Ford Abstract Paper

Parallel: Simulators for Main Stream Learning and Education, chaired by Stephen Alessi, Birgit Kopainsky

Web-based Simulations for Strategy and Sustainability: The MIT Sloan LearningEdge Management Flight Simulators, by John Sterman Abstract Paper

Games for Learning in Freight Transportation Systems, by Zahir Balaporia, Mike Zeimer Abstract Paper

Teaching Resource Management with Web-Based Models and Multi-Player Games, by Stephen Alessi, Birgit Kopainsky, Erling Moxnes Abstract Paper

Parallel: Learning about Stock Accumulation, chaired by Diana Fisher

What Can Students Learn from Simple Simulations about Accumulations?, by Krystyna Stave Abstract Paper

The effect of individual characteristics of decision making and judgment on stock-flow performance, by Stefan Raaijmakers, Hubert Korzilius, Etiënne Rouwette, Jac Vennix Abstract Paper

Seeing with the Mind - The Role of Spatial Ability in Inferring Dynamic Behaviour from Graphs and Stock and Flow Diagrams, by Guido Veldhuis, Hubert Korzilius Abstract Paper

Parallel: System Dynamics and Simulators for Policy Makers, Communication and Learning, chaired by Enrique Zepeda

Spore: an Action-Learning Support System for Incubating Regional Cooperative Innovation Networks, by Enrique Campos-Lopez, Alena Urdiales-Kalinchuk, Arturo Inda-Cunningham, Helue De la Barrera-Gomez, Avelino Hernandez-Corichi Abstract Paper Supporting

A Soft Landing Model and an Experimental Platform as an Introductory Control Design Tool, by Hakan Yasarcan, Togay Tanyolac Abstract Paper

Pilot error? Managerial decision biases against concurrency as explanation for delays in new aircraft development programmes, by Henk Akkermans, Kim van Oorschot Abstract

Parallel: Developing and Improving Mental Models, chaired by Lees Stuntz

Modeling as Autonomous System: Varela Meets Darwin, by Martin Schaffernicht, Camilo Olaya Abstract Paper Supporting

Learning to Think in Circles: Improving Mental Models of a Dynamic System, by Martin Schaffernicht, Stefan Groesser Abstract Paper Supporting

Hybrid Models in Developing System Thinking, by Ilya Levin, Tzur Levin Abstract Paper

Parallel: Using Feedback Thinking & SD in K12-oriented Education, chaired by Özge Pala

"Small changes can cause big problems over time": Insights from a Systems Thinking Intervention on Ecosystems with 4th graders, by Florian Kapmeier, Jörg Gerigk Abstract Paper

Exploring Barriers to Implementing System Dynamics Tools for K-12 Sustainability Education, by Heather Skaza, Kent Crippen, Kristoffer Carroll Abstract Paper

Sliding Goals in Student Achievement?, by George Richardson Abstract Paper

Parallel: Systemic Complexity, Dynamics and Learning, chaired by John Morecroft

Systemic Complexity of a Growth Management Game: Comparative Analysis of Decision Heuristics and Experimental Results, by Onur Ozgun, Yaman Barlas Abstract Paper

Is Ability of Solving Complex Stock-Flow Problems Associated with Ability of Solving Simpler Ones? An Experiment in Turkey, by Ufuk Turen, Yunus Gokmen, Hakan Dilek, Yavuz Ercil Abstract Paper

Effects of Delay, Nonlinearity and Feedback on the Overall Complexity of a Stock Management Game, by Onur Ozgun, Yaman Barlas Abstract Paper

Poster: Learning about Stock Accumulation

An Interview Protocol for Assessing Students’ Understanding of Dynamically Complex Environmental Problems, by Zerrin Doganca, Ali Saysel Abstract Paper Supporting

A problem of a shortage of female managers or a problem of a surplus of male managers?, by Suzanne van Staveren, Inge Bleijenbergh, Hubert Korzilius, Jac Vennix Abstract Paper

Poster: System Dynamics and Simulators for Policy Makers, Communication and Training

Knowledge Management and Related Emerging Issues in Organizations: A Systems Thinking using Feedback Loop Analysis, by Sumant Bishwas, Sushil Sushil Abstract Paper

A System Dynamics Approach for Knowledge Management and Business Excellence: An Application in Iran, by Mohammad Saryazdi, Mohammad Owlia, Jamal Hosseini Azabadi Abstract Paper

Matching Role Playing, Balanced Scorecards and System Dynamics modelling in management training: the “Strategic Micro-Factory”, by Federico Barnabe, Cristiano Busco, Maurizio Lambri, Gianfranco Zatta Abstract Paper Supporting

Speeding Up Energy Transitions: Gaming Towards Sustainability in The Dutch Built Environment, by Iman Mohammed, Erik Pruyt, Anne-Marije Zwerver Abstract Paper

Poster: System Dynamics in Philosophy and Society

Midday in Athens. A Socratic Dialogue about Systems, by Augusto Carena Abstract Paper

Poster: Injecting Feedback Thinking & SD in Education

Learning with Loops: Applying Feedback to Teaching System Dynamics to Undergraduates, by James Enos Abstract Paper

Making System Dynamics Cool IV: Teaching & Testing with Cases & Quizzes, by Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper Supporting

Stories For Teaching Systems Thinking: Development and Implementation Guide, by Morteza Nazari, Masoomeh Khandan Abstract Paper

Transdisciplinary Learning in Rural India: Reflections and Considerations from an Intensive Two-Week Course, by Jill Kuhlberg, Peter Hovmand, Gautam Yadama Abstract

SD Model of Romeo and Juliet, by Toru Suetake Abstract Paper


Creating and Publishing Online Simulations, by Michael Bean, William Schoenberg Abstract Link

Creating Simulations for the Web with STELLA and iThink, by Joanne Egner, Jeremy Merritt Abstract

Getting Started with STELLA and iThink, by Joanne Egner, Karim Chichakly Abstract

Introducing Change over Time Lessons for Math and Science Pre-College Classes, by Diana Fisher Abstract

Learning by Doing - A Path to Creating Original System Dynamics Modeling Projects, by John Richardson, Rehan Ali Abstract Supporting

Metaphorical Models for Managing the Transition from Industrial Growth to Sustainability, by John Morecroft Abstract Supporting

Modeling Dynamic Systems: Lessons for a First Course, by Diana Fisher Abstract Link


Methodology in System Dynamics

Plenary: The Trouble with Stocks and Flows, chaired by Elke Husemann

The Tragedy of Overshoots, by Erling Moxnes Abstract Paper

Plenary: Complexities and Leverage Points, chaired by Pĺl Davidsen

Power-leveling as an effect of group model building, by Bert van Nistelrooij, Etiënne Rouwette, Ilse Verstijnen, Jac Vennix Abstract Paper

Plenary: Shaping the Future of System Dynamics: Challenges and Opportunities, by Peter Milling (Chair), Andreas Harbig, Leonard Malczynski, Erik Pruyt, Craig Stephens, Nicole Zimmermann Abstract

Plenary: Theorie und Praxis, chaired by David Lane

Models that Include Cows: The Significance of Operational Thinking, by Camilo Olaya Abstract Paper

Parallel: Understanding Model Behaviour, chaired by Katrin Huegel

Model Behavior and the Strengths of Causal Loops: Mathematical Insights and a Practical Method, by John Hayward Abstract Paper Supporting

A novel way to measure (dis)similarity between model behaviors based on dynamic pattern features, by Gönenç Yucel Abstract

A Bright Future for System Dynamics: From Art to Computational Science and More, by Erik Pruyt, Jan Kwakkel Abstract Paper

Parallel: Using and Communicating Models, chaired by Ali Mashayekhi

Reporting Guidelines for Simulation-based Research in Social Sciences, by Hazhir Rahmandad, John Sterman Abstract Paper Supporting

A Critical Review of the Criticisms of System Dynamics, by Charles Featherston, Matthew Doolan Abstract Paper Supporting

Quality of System Dynamics Research: Evidence and Recommendations for Model-Based Studies, by Stefan Groesser, Roman Tschupp Abstract Link

Parallel: Technical and process aspects of modelling, chaired by George Richardson

Extracting Variables and Causal Links from Interview Data, by Ezzat El Halabi, Matthew Doolan, Michael Cardew-Hall Abstract Paper

Choosing the Right Tool for the Job: A Framework to Compare the Effectiveness of Problem Structuring Methods in System Dynamics, by Arash Golnam, Ron Sanchez, Gorica Tapandjieva, Alain Wegmann Abstract Paper

Chronological Aging in Continuous Time, by Robert Eberlein, James Thompson Abstract Paper Supporting

Poster: Understanding Model Behaviour

Design of the System Dynamics Longitudinal Analysis System: Quantifying the Hidden Trajectories of System Dynamics Models, by Xiang Meng, Nathaniel Osgood Abstract Paper

Ex Ante and Ex Post Sustainability of Energy Choices, by Marta Somogyvari Abstract Paper Supporting

Modelling the Nigeria’s Electric Power System to Evaluate its Long-Term Performance, by Abiodun Momodu, Timothy Oyedepo Oyebisi, T. O. Obilade Abstract Paper Supporting

Poster: Modelling Approaches

Designing Simulations for use in Higher Education, by William Schoenberg, Michael Bean Abstract Paper

Case study and system dynamics research: Complementarities, pluralism and evolutionary theory development, by George Papachristos Abstract Paper

Control Heuristics for Soft Landing Problem, by Togay Tanyolac, Hakan Yasarcan Abstract Paper

Poster: Model Building - Structure and Data

Using system dynamics to analyze innovation diffusion processes within intra-organizational networks, by Philipp Wunderlich, Andreas Groessler Abstract Paper

Measuring Group Model Building Intervention Impact Through Preference Elicitation, by Victor Alexiev Abstract Paper

Modelling Collaboration to optimise Innovation, by Benjamin Heslop Abstract Paper Link


A hands-on, case-study demonstration of the modeling process, from problem definition to policy implications, by Aldo Zagonel, Mohammad Mojtahedzadeh, Ricardo Chaim, Lorena Cadavid Abstract Paper Supporting

Building and Analyzing Models with Vensim, by Thomas Fiddaman Abstract Link

Calibration and Optimization in Vensim, by Thomas Fiddaman Abstract Link

Helping non-SD professionals and students gain the benefits of system dynamics, easily and quickly, by Kim Warren Abstract

NEW: Sysdea online modeling for educators, students, practitioners and non-SD professionals (replacing MyStrategy), by Kim Warren, Christina Spencer Abstract Link

System Dynamics Model Documentation and Assessment Tool (SDM-Doc), by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano, Mark Jusko Abstract Paper Link


Methodology: Related Approaches

Parallel: Related Methodology and Information Science, chaired by Jim Duggan

15 Things System Dynamics can Learn from Software Development, by Nathaniel Osgood, Yuan Tian Abstract Paper

Offshore IT outsourcing between India and New Zealand: A Qualitative System Dynamics Model, by Arun Elias, Saji Mathew Abstract Paper

Toward a Dynamic View on Client Dependence in IS Outsourcing Relationships: A Qualitative System Dynamics Approach, by Jasmin Kaiser, Peter Buxmann Abstract Paper

Poster: Methodology: Related Approaches

Accounting Dynamics -- Rethinking about Theoretical Framework, by Akira Uchino, Kinya Machida Abstract Paper

How to Explore and Manage the Future? Formal Model Analysis for Complex Issues under Deep Uncertainty, by Bas Keijser, Jan Kwakkel, Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper Supporting

Criterial Approach to Verification at Cognitive Mapping of Ill-Structured Situation Dynamics, by Svetlana Kovriga, Nina Abramova Abstract Paper

Using Soft Systems Methodology and System Dynamics in Mining Operations in Peru: Initial Findings for a Boundary Critique, by Alberto Paucar-Caceres, Diane Hart, Ricardo Rodriguez-Ulloa Abstract


Operations Management/Supply Chains

Parallel: Supply Chain Management and Reverse Logistics, chaired by Ann van Ackere

System Dynamics Model for Remanufacturing in Closed Loop Supply Chains, by Lewlyn Rodrigues, Farahnaz Motlagh, Deepak Ramesh, Vasanth Kamath Abstract Paper Supporting

A Supply Chain Paradox, by Anson Li, Kambiz Maani Abstract Paper

The Dynamics of a Judicial Service Supply Chain: A case study, by Luis Lopez, Roy Zuniga Abstract Paper

Parallel: Operations Management, chaired by Andreas Groessler

Designing Public Health Dissemination and Delivery Systems, by Peter Hovmand, Matthew Kreuter, James Dearing Abstract Paper

A System dynamics simulation model for scalable-capacity manufacturing systems, by Shady Elmasry, Mohamed Shalaby, Mohamed Saleh Abstract Paper Supporting

Retail Sales Generation: A Methodological Comparison of Econometric Estimation and Calibration, by Howard Hao-Chun Chuang, Rogelio Oliva, Olga Perdikaki Abstract Paper

Poster: Supply Chain and Operations Management

Forecasting the Diffusion of a Mobile Service for Freight Distribution, by Alberto De Marco, Anna Cagliano, Carlo Rafele Abstract Paper Supporting

Customer Lifetime Value Promotion Strategy Analysis Based on System Dynamics Model, by Shoujin Wang, Ying Qian, Yuening Li, Shengxin Chen Abstract Paper

Policy Modeling for Greenhouses Gas Emissions on Dairy Cattle Sector: the Importance of the Milk Production Improvement, by Alberto Stanislao Atzori, David Ford, Luis Tedeschi, Antonello Cannas Abstract Paper

A Parametric Analysis of the Effect of a Material Supply Line Delay in Stock Management, by Ahmet Mutallip, Hakan Yasarcan Abstract Paper

Industry Analysis: The Fastener Supply Chain in Aerospace Industry, by Emad Zilouchian, Arturo Cardenas Martinez, Saeed Koochak-Yazdi, Hani Murad Abstract Paper Supporting

Leveraging Supply Chain Relationships – A System Dynamics Perspective, by Anson Li, Tiru Arthanari, Yuhua Zhou Abstract

System Dynamics Based Perspective to Reliability Centered Maintenance, by Lewlyn Rodrigues, Farahnaz Motlagh, Sunith Hebbar, Vasanth Kamath Abstract Paper Supporting

Designing and Analysis a Dynamic Model of World Class Manufacturing in Iranian Automotive Industry, by Alireza Soloukdar Abstract Paper Supporting


Participatory Approaches to Modeling and Simulation

Plenary: Complexities and Leverage Points, chaired by Pĺl Davidsen

Understanding Social Determinants from the Ground Up, by Peter Hovmand, Alissa Nelson, Kenneth Carson Abstract Paper Supporting

Parallel: GMB Applications and Insights, chaired by Etiënne Rouwette

An exploration of the added value of Systems Analysis and System Dynamics for assessing the importance of innovative concepts, by Mónica Altamirano, Karen Meijer, Lija van Vliet, Arjen Ros Abstract Paper

Group Model Validation, by Roland Maximilian Happach, Guido Veldhuis, Jac Vennix, Etiënne Rouwette Abstract Paper

Participatory policy modelling for operational policy stream: the stakeholders and public administration perspective, by Birute Mikulskiene, Birute Pitrenaite Abstract Paper

Poster: Spread of Participatory Approaches

Students as System Thinkers: Scaling-up and Sustaining Innovations in Schools, by Meagan Colvin, Peter Hovmand Abstract Supporting

Integrating System Dynamics in a Strategic Foresight Process for Firms in Production Networks, by Hans-Christian Haag, Meike Tilebein Abstract Paper


Public Policy

Parallel: Industrial Policy, chaired by Roderick MacDonald

System Dynamics Analysis on a Management of Airline-Airport Coexistence with a Load Factor Guarantee, by Nobuaki Minato, Risako Morimoto Abstract Paper Supporting

Using System Dynamics Approach to Support Sustainable Growth Of Small And Medium Enterprises’ Quantity In Indonesia, by Athor Subroto Abstract Paper Supporting

Dynamic Analysis of Policy Options for Mexico’s Sheep Sector, by Charles Nicholson, David Parsons Abstract Paper Supporting

Parallel: Public Policy, chaired by David Andersen

The Dynamics of Undersea Cables: Emerging Opportunities and Pitfalls, by Michael Sechrist, Chintan Vaishnav, Daniel Goldsmith, Nazli Choucri Abstract Supporting

Understanding Complexities in Public Policy Making Process Through Policy Cycle Model: A System Dynamics Approach, by Athor Subroto Abstract Paper Supporting

POLLEN learning lab to improve the public education system and PISA, by Pedro Dagoberto Almaguer Prado, Ramiro Luis Almaguer Navarro, Ruth Raquel Almaguer Navarro, Pedro Dagoberto Almaguer Navarro, Beatriz Eugenia Navarro Vazquez Abstract Paper Supporting Link

Parallel: Financial Dynamics, chaired by Martijn Eskinasi

Conceptualizing Human Centered Development -The Case Pakistan, by Muhammad Azeem Qureshi, Pĺl Davidsen Abstract Paper

Financial Sustainability of Social Security Institutions in the Presence of Aging Populations, by Mustafa Yavas, Gizem Bacaksizlar Abstract Paper Supporting

Dealing with Public Debt Burden: A System Dynamics Approach to Implement Sustainable Financial Policies in the Italian State, by Pietro Sorci Abstract Paper Supporting

Parallel: Diffusion & Innovation, chaired by Simon Shepherd

How can the Diffusion of Energy-Efficient Renovations be Accelerated? Policy Implications from a System Dynamics Modeling Study, by Matthias Mueller, Silvia Ulli-Beer Abstract Paper Link

A Preliminary Model of Innovation Systems, by Mauricio Uriona Maldonado, Ricardo Pietrobon, Gregorio Varvakis, Elias Cesar de Carvalho Abstract Paper

Parallel: Law Enforcement, chaired by Florian Kapmeier

Prostitution and Human Trafficking: A model-based exploration and policy analysis, by András Kovari, Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper

Enhancing the Understanding of Corruption through System Dynamics Modelling, by Muhammad Ullah, Tiru Arthanari, Anson Li Abstract Paper Supporting

How Do “Short Sharp Shock” Punishments Affect the Prison Population? A System Dynamics Study of the London Riot Sentences, by Richard McDowall Abstract Paper

Parallel: Workforce & Revolution Dynamics, chaired by Lukas Schmid

Military Workforce Dynamics and Planning in the Italian AirForce, by Stefano Armenia, Andrea Centra, Vittorio Cesarotti, Angelo De Angelis, Clarissa Retrosi Abstract Paper

Unintended Effects of Changes in NIH Appropriations: Challenges for Biomedical Research Workforce Development, by Mauricio Gomez Diaz, Navid Ghaffarzadegan, Richard Larson Abstract Paper Supporting

Modeling Arabian Upraise, a System Dynamics Approach: Egypt case study, by Morteza Nazari, Ali Mashayekhi Abstract Paper Supporting

Poster: International Issues

Sustainable development: from discounting to simulation, by Erling Moxnes Abstract

Evaluation of group model building in a strategy implementation context: a New Zealand government case study, by Rodney Scott, Robert Cavana, Donald Cameron, Kambiz Maani Abstract Paper

Planning and Management of Regional Infrastructure for Tourism Development in Orissa State, India, by Dillip Das Abstract Paper Supporting

Determination of Effective Policies for Ecological Agriculture Development with System Dynamics – Case Study in Slovenia, by Crtomir Rozman, Karmen Pazek, Andrej Skraba, Jernej Turk, Miroljub Kljajic Abstract Paper

Should Korea’s Barn Swallows Be on the Red List of Threatened Species?: Population Dynamics Combined with Ecological Changes, by Man-Hyung Lee, Nam Hee Choi, Won-Gyu Ha, Jong-Hoon Yoo Abstract

Analyse Of Tax Competition In Brazil Using the System Dynamic Approach, by John Santos, Francisco Cassuce, Roberto Protil, Newton Bueno Abstract Paper

Communicating Complexity in Indonesia’s Electricity Economics and Market Development Using System Dynamics Based Game, by Akhmad Hidayatno, Armand Moeis, Nuzul Achjar, Aziiz Sutrisno Abstract Paper Supporting

Dutch social housing sector reforms: Exploring the effects on low income households, by André de Groen, Erik Pruyt, Harry Boumeester Abstract Paper

Poster: Public Policy

Strategic Planning Model & Tools for a State University College, by Jeff Trailer Abstract Paper Supporting

SDA: System Dynamics Simulation of Inter Regional Risk Management Using a Multi-Layered Model with Delays and Anticipation, by Stig Holmberg, Daniel Dubois Abstract Paper

Modeling of the Air-Pollution Emergency Situations Control and Geographical Information Processing for Rescue Decision Making, by Andrej Skraba, Radovan Stojanovic, Simon Berkowicz, Raffaele de Amicis, Giuseppe Conti, Doron Elhanani, Davorin Kofjac Abstract Paper

Poster: Transportation

A Systems Perspective of Cycling and Bike-sharing Systems in Urban Mobility, by Ashwani Kumar, Kwong Meng Teo, Amedeo Odoni Abstract Paper

Road safety strategies: An analysis with system dynamics, by M. Dolores Soto-Torres, Ramon Fernandez-Lechon, Pedro Fernandez Soto Abstract Paper

Simulating the Impact of Different Control Policy on Private Car in Beijing: A System Dynamics Approach, by Yang Yang, Hefeng Tong, Xu Zhang Abstract Paper Supporting


Social and Organizational Dynamics

Parallel: Social and Organizational Dynamics Applications, chaired by Stefan Groesser

A System Dynamics Approach to Exploring Sustainable Tourism Development, by Weijia Ran Abstract Paper Supporting

The Rise and Fall of the U.S. Homicide Rate towards the End of the 20th Century - A System Dynamics Approach, by Kaveh Dianati, Roland Maximilian Happach Abstract Paper Supporting

Interpreting unfolding paths of privatisation in the steel industry, by Edoardo Mollona Abstract

Parallel: Social and Organizational Dynamics Theory, chaired by Markus Schwaninger

The Efficiency Trap in Process Improvement and the Critical Role of Learning by Doing, by J. Bradley Morrison Abstract

Stocks of Knowledge and Organizational Performance: A Dynamic Relationship, by Fernando Arenas Abstract Paper

Poster: Social and Organizational Dynamics

Institutional political dynamics: political cycles between the liberal and the conservative, by Dong-Hwan Kim, Khalid Saeed Abstract Paper

Dynamic Aging Population in Germany: A case study about demographic change, by Oliver Handel, Aziiz Sutrisno Abstract Paper Supporting

Employing System Thinking for Building Shared Vision in a Youth-led NGO, by Eduard Romanenko Abstract Paper

Assessment of Technical Manpower Requirements in Agriculture Sector in India, by Balagopal Menon, Biswajit Mahanty, D. Rama Rao Abstract Paper

Decent Work: Modelling of workers' willingness to work in construction, by Stephen Ogunlana Abstract

Revisiting the Dynamics of Collapse: Globalization, Economic Growth & Rising Inequalities in the 19th century Ottoman Empire, by Özge Karanfil Abstract

Towards an optimal rate of general budget support in developing countries, by Yaw Adom-Mensah Abstract

Different Kids—How Typical Schools Are Built to Fail and Need to Change: A Structural Analysis, by Alan Gaynor Abstract Paper Supporting

Time out politics: transforming time into space, by Nicholas Georgantzas Abstract Paper Supporting

Fallacy of “Decomposition”: Cooperation rather than Competition inside Organizations, by Yutaka Takahashi, Nobuhide Tanaka Abstract Paper Supporting

An Action-Perception Theory of Trust and Confidence in Government, by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano, M. Samsa Abstract



Parallel: Frameworks: General and Specific, chaired by Marcel Loher

High-Value Outsourcing: Impact of Team Structure and Capabilities on Complex and Uncertain Off-shoring Projects, by Saikat Chaudhuri, Abhijit Mandal Abstract Paper Supporting

Model-based Decision Support for Future OEM Power-train Portfolios: Academic Solutions for Practical Requirements, by Karsten Kieckhafer, Katharina Wachter, Joachim Axmann, Thomas Spengler Abstract Paper

Success Dynamics - a Concept for building System Dynamics Models as Decision Support within Strategic Management, by Lukas Schmid, Justus Gallati, Katrin Huegel, Marcel Loher Abstract Paper

Parallel: Strategy and Sustainability, chaired by Nuno Videira

The Dynamics of Ambidextrous Decision Making, by Johannes Luger, Alexander Zimmermann, Stefan Groesser Abstract Link

Services as an Alternative Path to Sustainability, by Marios Bisilkas, Aurora Garcia-Gallego, Ivan Barreda Tarrazona Abstract Paper

System Dynamics and Genetic Artificial Neural Network Models for the Monitoring and Early Warning of Urban Housing Market, by Yu-Feng Ho, Hsiao-Lin Wang, Cheng-Chih Liu Abstract Paper

Poster: Research in Strategy

A Model of the Sustainability Requirements Dynamics for New Product Development, by Marios Bisilkas, Ivan Barreda Tarrazona, Aurora Garcia-Gallego Abstract Paper

Modeling Start-ups using System Dynamics: Towards a generic model, by Martin Kunc Abstract Paper

Planning via System Dynamics Models; Strategy Dynamics of Market Evolution, by Andreas Hadjis, George Papageorgiou Abstract Paper

Different Concepts of Dynamics in Strategy Research, by Markus Schwenke, Stefan Groesser Abstract

System Dynamics and Innovation: A complex problem with multiple levels of analysis, by Martin Kunc Abstract Paper

System Dynamics Society
Sessions by Thread updated: October 11, 2012.