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Timothy Clancy on “Evidence of Contagion – Role of Experiments, Confidence Building & Prediction Testing for the Terror Contagion Hypothesis”

In this Collective Learning Meeting (CLM), WPI System Dynamics will host Timothy Clancy (timc@dialecticsims.com) who will present

Evidence of Contagion – Role of Experiments, Confidence Building & Prediction Testing for the Terror Contagion Hypothesis 

Short Description: Timothy advances the terror contagion hypothesis presented in his PhD dissertation and hopes to facilitate a discussion on the nature of experimentation and confidence building with system dynamic simulations. The presentation, a very early-stage working draft, compares historical empirical data of 3-5 active and failed mass violence contagions against predictions made in the dissertation, simulation runs, and contingency analysis. Participants need no prior knowledge of the terror contagion hypothesis, but for those wishing to learn more about the hypothesis see Chapters 1-4 of his dissertation or of the Terror Contagion Simulation see https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/9/4/90/htm

Question(s) for the Audience:

  • What roles do you see for experimentation, prediction testing, and other confidence-building measures to improve hypotheses developed in the simulation?
  • Specifically, as an element of the above, what roles should falsification play?
  • Given the observations of the 3-5 contagions made to date, are there specific experiments, tests, or other measures to build confidence or reject portions of the terror contagion hypothesis you recommend?

Biography: Timothy Clancy is the founder and CEO of Dialectic Simulations and earned his PhD in System Dynamics at WPI.

We will record this meeting and post the video on the WPI System Dynamics Club YouTube channel.

Call-in details: https://bit.ly/CLM-2023-02-24

Alexander Ryzhenkov on “Heredity and Variability in Macroeconomics: System Dynamic Models of Economic Growth and Cycles”

Please join WPI System Dynamics online Friday, Feb 10th 11AM ET (Boston time).

In this Collective Learning Meeting (CLM), the System Dynamics Society’s Economics SIG and WPI System Dynamics will host Alexander Ryzhenkov who will present

Heredity and Variability in Macroeconomics:
System Dynamic Models of Economic Growth and Cycles

Short Description: This work is based on the Marx theory of extended capitalist reproduction. Tutorial (theoretical) system dynamics models of increasing returns and industrial cycles will be presented.

Question(s) for the Audience:

  • How relevant are presented models for the modern technologically and institutionally advanced capitalist economy?
  • What are prospective avenues for further advance from abstract to concrete?
  • Could socially efficient counter-cyclical policies be designed and practically implemented?

Biography: The author’s information is reflected at https://www.ieie.su/persons/ryzhenkov-av.html

Call-in details: https://bit.ly/CLM-2023-02-10

WPI Welcome (Back) Session

Please join WPI System Dynamics online Friday, Feb 3rd 11AM ET (Boston time. Here is a time converter).

In this Collective Learning Meeting (CLM), WPI System Dynamics will host a

Welcome (Back) Session

Happy new year and semester! Please join us if you want to network and discuss:

  • your studies or work
  • the International System Dynamics Conference
  • and more!

Call-in details: https://bit.ly/CLM-2023-02-03

WPI System Dynamics Peer Tutoring Session

Please join WPI System Dynamics online Friday, Dec 2nd 10AM ET (Boston time. Here is a time converter) for our last meeting of the fall 2022 semester. Hope you have a wonderful winter break! Or super summer depending on where you live!

In this Collective Learning Meeting (CLM), WPI System Dynamics will host a

Peer Tutoring Session

Peer Tutoring Sessions are open sessions where attendees network and discuss systems and simulation.

Please come to this CLM if you have questions about:

  • Modeling and Analysis
  • Research/Writing/Publishing
  • Etc.

Or if you want to help others who may have questions.

We will not record this session but will take notes and share them. You can view the frequently asked questions (FAQ) from these sessions and more on our website.

Call-in details: https://bit.ly/CLM-2022-12-02

 

WPI System Dynamics Peer Tutoring Session

Please join us online Friday, Oct 7th 10AM ET (Boston time. Here is a time converter).

In this Collective Learning Meeting (CLM), WPI System Dynamics will host a

Peer Tutoring Session

Peer Tutoring Sessions are open sessions where attendees network and discuss systems and simulation.

Please come to this CLM if you have questions about:

  • Modeling and Analysis
  • Research/Writing/Publishing
  • Etc.

Or if you want to help others who may have questions.

We will not record this session but will take notes and share them. You can view the frequently asked questions (FAQ) from these sessions and more on our website.

If you are interested in presenting your work, please contact Christine Tang (ctang@wpi.edu).

Tentative Schedule
https://wp.wpi.edu/lcsap/events/collective-learning-meetings-clm/

Call-in details: https://lnkd.in/gdZGfH36

Coordinating and Collaborating

Please join us online Friday, Sep 16th 10AM ET (Boston time. Here is a time converter).

In this Collective Learning Meeting (CLM), WPI System Dynamics wants you to be

Coordinating and Collaborating

with us on activities that you want to see! Do you want discussions with others in the “Big Three?” (Dynamic computer simulation methods: Agent-Based Modeling, Discrete-Event Simulation, SD) Are you interested in ethics in modeling and diversity?

Come to this CLM if you want to be involved in planning CLMs. It is a CLM on CLMs.

If you are interested in presenting your work, please contact Christine Tang (ctang@wpi.edu).

Call-in details: https://bit.ly/CLM-2022-09-16

TGRR Focused Collective Learning Meeting – September

In this Transboundary Groundwater Resiliency Research (TGRR) focused CLM on Friday, September 30th 11AM ET (Here is a time converter), participants will summarize, discuss and reflect on the TGRR Annual Workshop, which is on September 28th and 29th from 9-11AM MT | 11AM – 1PM ET.

Participants do not need to attend the Annual Workshop to participate in this CLM. However, we strongly recommended that you do.

Note: This CLM is an hour later than the other CLMs this Fall semester because the TGRR Network of Networks consists of collaborators on Pacific time (USA).

Hosts: WPI System Dynamics, the Transboundary Groundwater Resiliency Research Network of Networks (TGRR NoN), and the System Dynamics Society’s Water SIG

Discussion on Engaging Economists with SD

Please join us online Friday, Sep 9th 10AM ET (Boston time. Here is a time converter).

In this Collective Learning Meeting (CLM), the System Dynamics Society’s Economics SIG and WPI System Dynamics host a

Discussion on Engaging Economists with SD

This is a continuation of the conversation from the Econ SIG meeting at the International System Dynamics Conference 2022. Please join this meeting if you are interested in discussing strategies on the diffusion of system dynamics into the economics profession.

We will record this presentation and post it to the System Dynamics Society’s YouTube channel.

Call-in details: See below for the Zoom link

WPI System Dynamics Welcome (Back) Session

Please join us online Friday, Sep 2nd 10AM ET (Boston time. Here is a time converter).

In this Collective Learning Meeting (CLM), WPI System Dynamics will host a

Welcome (Back) Session

Happy new academic year and semester! Please join us if you want to network and discuss:

  • your studies or work
  • System Dynamics education
  • the International System Dynamics Conference
  • and more!

If you are interested in presenting your work, please contact Christine Tang (ctang@wpi.edu) or reply to this email.

Call-in details: https://bit.ly/CLM-2022-09-02

[Economics SIG] Alfonso Martinez Valderrama on “Dynamic National Model for Prospective and Analysis of Environmental and Socioeconomic Policies”

 

Please join us online Friday, June 10th Noon ET (Boston time. Here is a time converter)

In this Collective Learning Meeting (CLM), the System Dynamics Society’s Economics SIG and WPI System Dynamics host Alfonso Martinez Valderrama (amvalderrama1@gmail.com) who will present 

Dynamic National Model for Prospective and Analysis of
Environmental and Socioeconomic Policies

 

Short Description: Alfonso will present a detailed SD model for a National Economy (case Spain: 2000-2030), focusing on an overview of the structure and main modules and views of some results and scenarios.

Question(s)/Comment(s) for the Audience:

a) What experience do you have with Macroeconomics or Economic models using System Dynamics?

b) What type of methodologies do you use when developing an SD model? Stock & flows, System Thinking, Hybrid methods – SD and econometrics and other methods?

c) Do you know more SD models that consider impacts of production/demand shocks (i.e., measures applied for the covid19 pandemic) on the economy

d) Do you have any suggestion for further development or expansion of this model?

 

Biography:

Professor in Economic Sciences, specialized in quantitative methodologies: System Thinking, System Dynamics, simulation models, econometrics, game theory, programming, algorithms.

Main areas of interest: economics (macro, micro and business strategy), trade, sustainable development, transport, simulation models.

Alfonso worked in consulting (2000-01 Monitor Group, 2007-10 Epypsa, 2012-16 Simulación Dinámica) and in Spanish Public Organizations (2001-07 Comisión del Mercado de las Telecomunicaciones –CMT-, 2017-21 Instituto Español de Comercio Exterior –ICEX-).

 

We will record this presentation and post it to the System Dynamics Society’s YouTube channel.

 

Call-in details: https://bit.ly/CLM-2022-06-10