Problem Resolution com System Dynamics: Energia e Ensino
Apresentaçao 1:
Fernanda Dayse Ferreira Rogerio
Título apresentação:Análise do Sistema Energético de Minas Gerais utilizando Dinâmica de Sistemas:
Assunto discutido: previsão do consumo de energia e das emissões de CO2
Bio Fernanda : Mestra em Engenharia e Gestão de Processos e Sistemas, Especializada em Engenharia Multimodal (Ferrovia, Portos e Terminais), MBA em Gestão Avançada de Projetos Complexos, Especializada em Gestão Negócios e Graduada em Ciência da Computação. Ao longo da minha carreira profissional, adquiri sólida experiência em Suprimentos e na Coordenação de Serviços de Tecnologia, como docente ministro disciplinas sobre metodologias ágeis.
Apresentaçao 2:
Prof. Roberto Max Protil, PhD
Assunto discutido: ENSINO DE DINÂMICA DE SISTEMAS: TEORIA E PRÁTICA EM UM CURSO DE GRADUAÇÃO.
Bio Roberto: Engenheiro Agrônomo, M.Sc. em Administração e Ph.D. em Economia de Empresas. Professor e pesquisador da Universidade Federal de Viçosa na área de Agronegócios. Coordenador do Laboratório de Desenvolvimento Gerencial onde desenvolve atividades de ensino, pesquisa e extensão utilizando a abordagem do Pensamento Sistêmico em conjunto com a metodologia de Dinâmica de Sistemas.
WPI System Dynamics Peer Tutoring Session
Please join WPI System Dynamics online Friday, Dec 1st 11AM ET (Boston time. Here is a time converter) for our last meeting of the fall 2023 semester. Hope you have a wonderful winter break! Or super summer depending on where you live!
In this Collective Learning Meeting (CLM), WPI System Dynamics will host a
Peer Tutoring Session
Peer Tutoring Sessions are open sessions where attendees network and discuss systems and simulation.
Please come to this CLM if you have questions about:
- Modeling and Analysis
- Research/Writing/Publishing
- Etc.
Or if you want to help others who may have questions.
We will not record this session but will take notes and share them. You can view the frequently asked questions (FAQ) from these sessions and more on our website.
Call-in details: TBA (See button below for the Zoom)
Moo-Hyuk Lee on “Understanding Patient Outmigration from the Patients’ and Providers’ Perspective: A System Dynamics Approach”
Please join us online Friday, October 27th 11AM ET (Boston time. Here is a time converter). In this Collective Learning Meeting (CLM), WPI System Dynamics will host Moo-Hyuk Lee (mooohyuk@gmail.com) who will present
Understanding Patient Outmigration from the Patients’ and Providers’ Perspective: A System Dynamics Approach
Short Description: This presentation delves into our ongoing work on patient outmigration in South Korea. Outmigration, a characteristic phenomenon of the South Korean health system, refers to patients bypassing local hospitals and traveling further to Seoul (the capital city of South Korea) to receive treatment. To unravel the dynamic mechanisms driving outmigration, we designed a causal loop diagram which examined this phenomenon from the patients’ and providers’ perspective. At its simplest level, decrease in objective quality of the provincial hospitals induces the increase in outmigration through the decrease of perceived quality, which then results in quality deterioration by discouraging healthcare providers from working in provincial areas, forming a vicious cycle and reducing trust towards the healthcare system. An early stage of this model was presented at the Student-Organized Colloquium (SOC) of the International System Dynamics Conference (ISDC) in July 2023. Question(s) for the Audience: I seek general feedback on each aspect of the causal loop diagram. I would also like to get insights on what to do next in order to continuously develop the model. Biography: I am a master’s student in Health Policy and Management in Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea. My undergraduate major was in medicine. I am interested in the use of complex systems approach in healthcare, with prior experiences in agent-based modeling. Since I am relatively new to system dynamics, I would like this presentation to be a valuable opportunity for improving and refining my work. www.linkedin.com/in/moohyuklee001 Recording: We will record this presentation. Moo-Hyuk will share it by request. If you are interested in presenting your work, please contact Christine Tang (ctang@wpi.edu).
WPI System Dynamics Welcome (Back) Session
Please join us online Friday, August 25th 11AM ET (Boston time. Here is a time converter).
In this Collective Learning Meeting (CLM), WPI System Dynamics will host a
Welcome (Back) Session
Happy new semester! Please join us if you want to network and discuss:
- your studies or work
- the International System Dynamics Conference
- and more!
If you are interested in presenting your work, please contact Christine Tang (ctang@wpi.edu).
Call-in details: https://bit.ly/CLM-2023-08-25
2023 BeNeLux Chapter Symposium
Date and Time:
Friday, October 13th
9:30 – 18:00 local time
Location:
National Police
Nieuwe Uitleg 1
2514 BP Den Haag (The Hague, Netherlands)
Theme:
Policies for Popular Discontent – Systemic Analysis of Societal Distrust, Polarization and Public Rage
RSVP:
For a seamless entry experience, kindly RSVP through our website.
About the Symposium:
We are excited to present a symposium that showcases the rich work of the BeNeLux System Dynamics Chapter. The event will delve into global challenges that have accentuated societal divisions, such as climate change, sustainability, and migration. The repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic have deepened these divisions, leading to public concern about the future and dissatisfaction with governmental solutions. Consequently, these matters are the focal points of intense political discussions and, at times, violent demonstrations. This growing chasm between groups hinders productive dialogue, which could pave the way for universally accepted solutions.
The central question we aim to address is: How can System Dynamics aid in understanding these challenges and offer insights for decision-makers in law enforcement? Furthermore, how can it assist in depolarizing societal views and fostering constructive discussions on sustainable solutions?
Program Committee:
- Willem Auping (TU Delft)
- Floortje d’Hont (TU Delft)
- Hubert Korzilius (Radboud University)
- Mieke Struik (Dutch Police)
- Rob van Waas (TNO)
Organized By:
BeNeLux Chapter – System Dynamics Society
Timothy Clancy on “Evidence of Contagion – Role of Experiments, Confidence Building & Prediction Testing for the Terror Contagion Hypothesis”
In this Collective Learning Meeting (CLM), WPI System Dynamics will host Timothy Clancy (timc@dialecticsims.com) who will present
Evidence of Contagion – Role of Experiments, Confidence Building & Prediction Testing for the Terror Contagion Hypothesis
Short Description: Timothy advances the terror contagion hypothesis presented in his PhD dissertation and hopes to facilitate a discussion on the nature of experimentation and confidence building with system dynamic simulations. The presentation, a very early-stage working draft, compares historical empirical data of 3-5 active and failed mass violence contagions against predictions made in the dissertation, simulation runs, and contingency analysis. Participants need no prior knowledge of the terror contagion hypothesis, but for those wishing to learn more about the hypothesis see Chapters 1-4 of his dissertation or of the Terror Contagion Simulation see https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/9/4/90/htm
Question(s) for the Audience:
- What roles do you see for experimentation, prediction testing, and other confidence-building measures to improve hypotheses developed in the simulation?
- Specifically, as an element of the above, what roles should falsification play?
- Given the observations of the 3-5 contagions made to date, are there specific experiments, tests, or other measures to build confidence or reject portions of the terror contagion hypothesis you recommend?
Biography: Timothy Clancy is the founder and CEO of Dialectic Simulations and earned his PhD in System Dynamics at WPI.
We will record this meeting and post the video on the WPI System Dynamics Club YouTube channel.
Call-in details: https://bit.ly/CLM-2023-02-24
Alexander Ryzhenkov on “Heredity and Variability in Macroeconomics: System Dynamic Models of Economic Growth and Cycles”
Please join WPI System Dynamics online Friday, Feb 10th 11AM ET (Boston time).
In this Collective Learning Meeting (CLM), the System Dynamics Society’s Economics SIG and WPI System Dynamics will host Alexander Ryzhenkov who will present
Heredity and Variability in Macroeconomics:
System Dynamic Models of Economic Growth and Cycles
Short Description: This work is based on the Marx theory of extended capitalist reproduction. Tutorial (theoretical) system dynamics models of increasing returns and industrial cycles will be presented.
Question(s) for the Audience:
- How relevant are presented models for the modern technologically and institutionally advanced capitalist economy?
- What are prospective avenues for further advance from abstract to concrete?
- Could socially efficient counter-cyclical policies be designed and practically implemented?
Biography: The author’s information is reflected at https://www.ieie.su/persons/ryzhenkov-av.html
Call-in details: https://bit.ly/CLM-2023-02-10
WPI Welcome (Back) Session
Please join WPI System Dynamics online Friday, Feb 3rd 11AM ET (Boston time. Here is a time converter).
In this Collective Learning Meeting (CLM), WPI System Dynamics will host a
Welcome (Back) Session
Happy new year and semester! Please join us if you want to network and discuss:
- your studies or work
- the International System Dynamics Conference
- and more!
Call-in details: https://bit.ly/CLM-2023-02-03
Environmental and Natural Resource Group Meeting
A Monthly Meeting for Reviewing and Discussing System Thinking and Systems Dynamics presentations from Students and Practitioners on the topics of Energy, Water, Land Use (Agriculture & Food), and the Environment.
Jake Jacobson and Len Malczynski of Mindseye Computing https://www.mindseyecomputing.com/
Will be the presenters for March addressing “New Mexico State Decarbonization Plan and Produced Water Model”
Submit a proposed presentation at https://airtable.com/shrXcSAqAeOo6MiMbContact
Joseph M. Londa
SDS Environmental SIG Leader
environment@systemdynamics.org
Student-Organized Colloquium 2023
The Student-Organized Colloquium is a free, two-day online (Wed, July 19th) and hybrid event (Sun, July 23rd) organized by the Student Chapter of the System Dynamics Society held before and on the first day of the International System Dynamics Conference (ISDC). The Student-Organized Colloquium promotes dialogue among system dynamicists of varying fields, levels of training and backgrounds and creates spaces to have meaningful conversations about the topics that we all care about so that everyone can share and receive feedback to improve their work.
The format of the event consists mainly of breakout sessions in which doctoral, masters and undergraduate students, as well as practitioners, professionals and academics in any field who are new to System Dynamics (less experienced, mentees, juniors) can discuss their ideas and concerns, and get mentored by more experienced system dynamicists (mentors, seniors).
For more information, please visit the Student-Organized Colloquium Webpage.
Starting January 24th, you will be able to submit your papers.
Please join us when (and where) you are able!