CDC Explores Solutions to Counter Diabetes Prevalence
Diabetes mellitus is a growing health problem worldwide. In the United States, the number of people with diabetes has grown since 1990 at a rate much greater than that of the general population; it was estimated at 20.8 million in 2005. Total costs of diabetes in the United States in 2002 were estimated at 2 billion.
Health planners in the National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention used system dynamics simulation modeling to gain a better understanding of diabetes population dynamics and to explore implications for public health strategy. A model was developed to explain the growth of diabetes since 1980 and portray possible futures through 2050.
The model simulations suggest four characteristic dynamics of the diabetes population.
First, it shows obesity’s role in driving the growth of prediabetes and diabetes prevalence.
Second, the model quantifies the “backing up” phenomenon (in which reduced outflow from a population stock causes a buildup in that stock) that may undercut the benefits of management and control efforts. Third, management and control efforts alone are unable to reduce diabetes prevalence in the long term. Fourth, there are significant delays between primary prevention efforts and downstream improvements in diabetes outcomes.
Client | Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) |
---|---|
Authors/Consultants | Jones AP, Homer JB, Murphy DL, Essien JDK, Milstein B, Seville DA |
Do you want to know more?
OTHER SUCCESSFUL APPLICATIONS
Solving Bottlenecks in Dairy Production Facilities with System Dynamics
Solving Bottlenecks in Dairy Production Facilities with System Dynamics EXECUTIVE Summary FrieslandCampina faced potential bottlenecks in production due to the merging of two factories. They hired SD&Co which employed system dynamics simulation models to predict...
A Design Value Calculator: A System Dynamics Boardgame
A Design Value Calculator: A System Dynamics Boardgame EXECUTIVE Summary Product design is a specific form of complex innovation that touches all areas of an organization’s management. While entrepreneurs recognise the value of design, they often tend to focus...
The World Bank Uses System Dynamics to Identify Root Causes of Poverty
The World Bank Uses System Dynamics to Identify Root Causes of Poverty EXECUTIVE Summary Madagascar has one of the highest poverty rates in the world. In 2022, an astonishingly three out of every four people in Madagascar lived below the poverty line. Poverty has...
Upcoming Events
MIT System Dynamics Seminar | Approaches to Encouraging Health Exchange Participation
You are invited to attend the System Dynamics Seminar being held on Friday, April 26th from 12:30-2:00pm EST in the Jay W. Forrester conference room, E62-450, or via Zoom: https://mit.zoom.us/j/94114971874 (Password: SDSP24). Our guest speaker will be Soheil Ghili...
Recent Posts
Society Governance Updates
Society Governance Updates Welcome, Allyson! New President Allyson Beall King joined the Policy Council as our 2024 President. Her primary role is as director of the Washington State University School of the Environment, which focuses on regional ecologies and our...
Call for Presenters: Seminar Series
Call for Presenters: Seminar Series We at the System Dynamics Society are continually seeking vibrant and knowledgeable presenters for our ongoing Seminar Series. As we unfold the calendar, there’s always a place for more insights, experiences, and expertise to enrich...
Honoring Excellence: A Glimpse into the Awards of the International System Dynamics Conference
Honoring Excellence: A Glimpse into the Awards of the International System Dynamics Conference The International System Dynamics Conference brings together experts, practitioners, and students to exchange ideas, showcase real-world applications, and celebrate...
Join us
OTHER SUCCESSFUL APPLICATIONS
Solving Bottlenecks in Dairy Production Facilities with System Dynamics
Solving Bottlenecks in Dairy Production Facilities with System Dynamics EXECUTIVE Summary FrieslandCampina faced potential bottlenecks in production due to the merging of two factories. They hired SD&Co which employed system dynamics simulation models to predict...
A Design Value Calculator: A System Dynamics Boardgame
A Design Value Calculator: A System Dynamics Boardgame EXECUTIVE Summary Product design is a specific form of complex innovation that touches all areas of an organization’s management. While entrepreneurs recognise the value of design, they often tend to focus...
The World Bank Uses System Dynamics to Identify Root Causes of Poverty
The World Bank Uses System Dynamics to Identify Root Causes of Poverty EXECUTIVE Summary Madagascar has one of the highest poverty rates in the world. In 2022, an astonishingly three out of every four people in Madagascar lived below the poverty line. Poverty has...
Recent Posts
Society Governance Updates
Society Governance Updates Welcome, Allyson! New President Allyson Beall King joined the Policy Council as our 2024 President. Her primary role is as director of the Washington State University School of the Environment, which focuses on regional ecologies and our...
Call for Presenters: Seminar Series
Call for Presenters: Seminar Series We at the System Dynamics Society are continually seeking vibrant and knowledgeable presenters for our ongoing Seminar Series. As we unfold the calendar, there’s always a place for more insights, experiences, and expertise to enrich...
Honoring Excellence: A Glimpse into the Awards of the International System Dynamics Conference
Honoring Excellence: A Glimpse into the Awards of the International System Dynamics Conference The International System Dynamics Conference brings together experts, practitioners, and students to exchange ideas, showcase real-world applications, and celebrate...
Upcoming Events
MIT System Dynamics Seminar | Approaches to Encouraging Health Exchange Participation
You are invited to attend the System Dynamics Seminar being held on Friday, April 26th from 12:30-2:00pm EST in the Jay W. Forrester conference room, E62-450, or via Zoom: https://mit.zoom.us/j/94114971874 (Password: SDSP24). Our guest speaker will be Soheil Ghili...