Generic selectors
Exact matches only
Search in title
Search in content
Post Type Selectors
Search in posts
Search in pages

Go Home

Wellesley Institute Explores Toronto’s Health Landscape

Nov 4, 2020 | Cases

Social determinants of health are important in shaping the health of urban populations in Canada. The low socio-economic status of marginalized, disadvantaged, and precarious populations in urban settings has been linked to adverse health outcomes including chronic and infectious disease, negative health behaviors, barriers to accessing health care services, and overall mortality. Given the dynamic complexities and inter-relationships surrounding the underlying drivers of population health outcomes and inequities, it is difficult to assess program and policy intervention tradeoffs, particularly when such interventions are studied with static models.

To address this challenge, a simulation model was developed for the City of Toronto, Canada, utilizing system dynamics modeling methodology. The model simulates changes in health, social determinants, and disparities from 2006 and projects forward to 2046 under different assumptions.

Most of the variables in the model are stratified by ethnicity, immigration status, and gender, and capture the characteristics of adults aged 25–64. Intervention areas include health care access, behavior, income, housing, and social cohesion.

The model simulates alternative scenarios to help demonstrate the relative impact of different interventions on poor health outcomes such as chronic disease rates, disability rates, and mortality rate. It gives insight into how much, and how quickly, interventions can reduce mortality and morbidity. This will serve as a useful learning tool to allow diverse stakeholders and policy makers to ask “what if” questions and map effective policy directions for complex population health problems, and will enable communities to think about their health futures.

Name Wellesley Institute (Toronto)
Authors/Consultant Mahamoud A, Roche B, Homer J

Do you want to know more?

Reference

Mahamoud A, Roche B, Homer J.  Modeling the Social Determinants of Health and Simulating Short-Term and Long-Term Intervention Impacts for the City of Toronto, Canada.  Social Science and Medicine, published online 10 October 2012.

OTHER SUCCESSFUL APPLICATIONS

RSC Uses System Dynamics to Increase HVACR Sales Against the Tide

RSC Uses System Dynamics to Increase HVACR Sales Against the Tide “Using the proven Strategy Dynamic process focused our limited resources on organizing strategic issues, identifying the critical resources, and developing the insight to more rapidly create intuitive...

Achieving a Polio-Free World Through System Dynamics Simulation

Achieving a Polio-Free World Through System Dynamics Simulation EXECUTIVE Summary This System Dynamics model underpinned a 192 country resolution to eradicate polio globally and led the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation to give Rotary International $100 million to...

MasterCard Halts Market Share Slide With Scenario Planning

MasterCard Halts Market Share Slide With Scenario Planning The Problem MasterCard, a major credit card company, once held a dominant market position US Market Share with only one primary competitor, Visa. They woke up one day and realized that, after six years of...

Upcoming Events

2022 SDS Policy Council Meeting

2022 SDS Policy Council Meeting

Monthly meetings of the Policy Council occur on the last Wednesday of the month with the exception of conference month.  All Society members are welcome to attend.  Login to see the meeting location which will be displayed here to members 15 minutes prior to the start...

Recent Posts

Data & Uncertainty in System Dynamics

Data & Uncertainty in System Dynamics Jay Forrester cautioned that “fitting curves to past system data can be misleading”. Certainly, that can be true, if the model is deficient. But we can have our cake and eat it too: a good model that passes traditional System...

Modeling for Improved Organizational Staff Diversity

Modeling for Improved Organizational Staff Diversity We cannot all succeed when (more than) half of us are held back. This slightly modified quote is from Malala Yousafzai, the courageous young woman who stood up for her right to be educated. It summarizes the ethos...

Join us

LET US BE PART OF YOUR JOURNEY

Do you want to lead your organization into the future by overcoming paradigms and creating change? With Systems Thinking and System Dynamics you will enable powerful decision-making and find the leverage points to improve profits, strategy, efficiency, sustainability, and more.

Rebecca Niles

Talk with Us

The most efficient way to align your needs with our offerings is to schedule a meeting with our Executive Director, Rebecca Niles

Engage a Systems Consultant

Looking for a Systems Consultant? Fill out this form and we will follow up with a call and, soon enough, the right person for the job.

Experience Systems Thinking

Bring in a facilitator to unleash the power of Systems Thinking in your organization. Fill out this form for a Beer Game facilitator and join the companies, and graduate and MBA programs that play this game all over the world. Contact us if a facilitator for a different game is needed.

WPI System Dynamics Fundamentals micro-course 1

Start Learning

Join the WPI Sytem Dynamics Fundamentals Course to understand the causes of dynamic behavior at a basiic level and much more! The course is self-led and self-paced.

System Dynamics Admins
System Dynamics Admins